OT: Coronavirus
Wow....
Yeah, DIA is never that empty. My goodness, this thing has really gotten ahold of people. But I suspect that it's going to make a far bigger dent in the global economy than the global population.
What changes have you made? Personally, I have tickets to fly to San Francisco with my kids to see my brother in a couple of weeks. And, so far anyway, I plan to go. But I have to say I'm a little nervous about it, especially with my kids. Not as much about the virus as how people are panicking about it. A flight yesterday was rerouted to Denver because someone, um...sneezed. And I am narrowing in on some ridiculously priced tickets to Cancun in May. Am I crazy?
“A gentleman is someone who can play the accordion, but doesn't." - Tom Waits
I did not write this, I'm trying to find out who did.
Do you wonder why CA only has 559 CV19 deaths compared to 7,067 deaths in NY?
Welp, researchers at Stanford's School of Medicine suspect it's because CA had already developed "herd immunity" to the virus. They're now conducting a study to find this out.
Makes sense. CA is China's #1 tourist destination in the U.S. -- about 7,000 arrivals from China to CA per day before the travel ban. It's highly likely CV19 has been kicking around CA since October or November. Most people just thought it was a cold or the seasonal Flu.
We don't need an economic lockdown to deal with this. The elderly and frail can hide out for 4-6 weeks or so while the rest of the population develops "herd immunity."
SWEDEN GETS IT:
"Herd Immunity" develops after about 70% of the population contract the virus.
Building "herd immunity" is how Sweden is dealing with this virus. No lockdown in Sweden. Bars, restaurants and schools are all open in Sweden.
Sweden doing fine -- doing better than the UK, France, Italy, Spain, Switzerland.
Building "herd immunity" is the only way to get rid of a virus when there is no vaccine.
The lockdown was never designed to reduce the number of infections -- only spread them out over time so as not to overwhelm hospitals and ICUs with the 5% or so of those with CV19 who are critically ill.
Turns out we have plenty of ICU beds and plenty of ventilators. So no need for an economic lockdown.
Once the lockdown is lifted, the virus will bounce back to life until "herd immunity" develops. So might as well get this over with quick.
CUOMO'S HYSTERIA:
Remember when Gov Andrew Cuomo told us NY needed 30,000 ventilators?
Turns out he only needed 5,000.
Ventilators don't seem to work anyway. 80% of CV19 patients die who go on one. Doctors now think invasive ventilators damage the lungs and do more harm than good.
Remember when Cuomo (citing the "experts") told us he would need 150,000 additional hospital beds?
Welp, it turns out hospitalizations in NY from CV-19 peaked at 18,000. No need for those thousands and thousands of hospital beds taxpayers built for him at the Javits Center, in Central Park and in vacant hotels.
No need for that giant Navy hospital ship in New York Harbor either.
Meanwhile, Seattle has shut down its CV19 field hospital built by the Army Corps of Engineers.
Total Patient Count: ZERO.
Yep, never had a single patient. Not one.
Part 2
THE MODELS ARE GARBAGE:
Remember back in the day (3 weeks ago) when the UK's Imperial College model everyone was using predicted 2.2. MILLION would die in the U.S. from CV19?
This is what got the panic really going.
Then there was the more sober IHME model from the University of Washington that everyone started using after the Imperial College model blew up.
Last week the White House projected 120,000 to 240,000 deaths based on the IHME model.
Friday, April 3, the IHME model dropped its death estimate to 93,000. Then on Tuesday, April 7, the IHME model dropped its death estimate to 60,000. The White House followed suit, also dropping its estimate to 60,000 deaths.
No, the decline in projected deaths by the IHME model was not because of all the social controls and lockdowns. Drs Fauci and Brix, informed by the IHME model, were projecting 120,000 to 240,000 deaths 10 days ago under the assumption that all the social controls and lockdowns in effect would continue.
So projected deaths are now 60,000 --- basically a typical Flu season.
We can assume this number will continue to fall to something like 30,000.
Not minimizing deaths. Every death is sad.
But 16 MILLION people in the U.S. lost their jobs in the past 3 weeks based on decisions produced by bad data and bad models.
Poverty, no job, and lack of economic activity will kill many more people than this virus.
------------------------------------------------
Ohio, New York and other states are counting people "suspected" of having CV19 who die as CV-19 deaths without actually conducting tests to know for sure.
Also, all people who have more than one "co-morbidity" who have CV19 are also automatically counted as CV-19 deaths.
According to Dr. Birx, more than half of those who die from CV-19 have three or more other "co-morbidities" -- yup, three or more other medical conditions that might have killed them.
Yes, CV-19 might have been the final straw that broke the camel's back. But they were going to die from something else soon.
I had never heard the word "co-morbidity" until this event.
So why pad the numbers?
Welp, the more deaths from CV19, the more federal money there is for the states. It's best if your state is declared a disaster area.
My state of Florida has been declared a disaster area even though we only have 371 deaths in state of 22 MILLION people.
My county of Broward is considered a CV-19 "hot spot."
Took a trip the other day to the largest drive-thru testing set-up in South Florida. Not a single car there at 2 p.m. even though we're supposedly at the peak of the outbreak.
@"Vikergirl" said: https://twitter.com/ferreynd/status/1248057303355588611?s=19It’s crazy how fast this graphic became obsolete. Now Covid-19 is killing more Americans per day than all other causes. It’s either the leading cause or very close to it. It took less than a month.
We have the first pro home run in 2020! pic.twitter.com/FbJ6R6eyft
— Baseball Bros (@BaseballBros) April 12, 2020
Looks like the Marlins are playing
John Madden and Pat Summerall Do Play By Play of The Easter Bunny Fight#HappyEaster
— Frank Caliendo (@FrankCaliendo) April 13, 2020
TURN SOUND ON!!! pic.twitter.com/Zjvexpi6VM
A cowboys mask will guarantee you won't catch anything
Breaking: A sailor who tested positive for COVID-19 on the USS Theodore Roosevelt has died of coronavirus, says Navy. Nearly 600 sailors on board have now tested positive.
— Jim Sciutto (@jimsciutto) April 13, 2020
On Easter Sunday, the Christ the Redeemer statue in Rio de Janeiro lit up with messages that paid tribute to healthcare workers amid the coronavirus pandemic pic.twitter.com/Iggk0ujnQH
— TIME (@TIME) April 13, 2020
@"Vikergirl" said: https://twitter.com/jimsciutto/status/1249683391261409281?s=19Jesus Christ. Fucking lovely.
I’m putting on my tin foil hat here for a second and saying . . The Chinese aren’t sad about this. They aren’t sad about losing thousands of Chinese. They do not care if the world thinks they are covering up the number.
This seems like a benefit of the CCP, especially with Xi in power for life. Allow this shit to fester for the benefit of hte Uber wealthy Chinese who think eating a pangolin and tiger femur gives them a fucking hard on, let a 100,000 die, watch the world go to shit, force the world to buy Chinese goods and assert global power while the west struggles.
Excellent closing speed. Willing to sell out to stop the run. Could see high number of penalties due to targeting rules. Athletic, versatile, loyal prospect with a high ceiling. Round 1 grade pic.twitter.com/Xuj0xPc0Do
— Matt Miller (@nfldraftscout) April 13, 2020
If Sendejo was a dog
Ok, so I have been pretty supportive of our states response to this virus, but I just heard that a massive wind tower project was allowed to start up in central SD this spring. This has brought hundreds of workers from all over the country into a small rural area that doesnt have the medical facilities to handle a break out if it were to happen. In many instances these workers will bunk up in rental houses and trailers so its not like they will be isolating. its one thing to allow people that are already here to work, but to allow a shit load of people to come in from out of state... just plain dumb IMO.
this will also kill the little local economic boon that these projects are supposed to create, no restaurants or bars open to capture any of that money.
Timberwolves announce Karl-Anthony Towns’ mom, Jacqueline, has died due to complications from the coronavirus pic.twitter.com/QRSk8M3Hdk
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) April 13, 2020
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) April 13, 2020
Metro Mobility providing free transportation for Twin Cities health care workers
Metro Mobility said Monday it will provide front-line health care workers with free, daily, round-the-clock transportation to and from their workplaces.
The federally mandated transportation bus service for people with disabilities has seen ridership decline by nearly 80% during the COVID-19 pandemic. The new service comes after Metro Transit has reduced service during the outbreak, making it hard for workers dependent on public transportation to get to and from their jobs.
The new, on-demand service begins immediately.
The Metropolitan Council, the regional planning body that runs Metro Mobility, said in a news release the new service will serve solo passengers and “very small” groups of essential health care workers.
The council said the trips will follow state guidelines for physical distancing and will only transport “as many customers as is safe for the vehicle.” Metro Mobility drivers will wipe down interior touch points with disinfectant on vehicles after each trip and buses will be sanitized daily.
Met Council Chair Charlie Zelle said in a statement, “health care workers are on the front lines of the COVID-19 pandemic, providing critical services to those who need them most. Our strengths lie in getting people safely where they need to go, and right now, our health care heroes need protected, reliable transportation."
https://www.startribune.com/metro-mobility-providing-free-transportation-for-twin-cities-health-care-workers/569600952/

This is the daily cases for the US. Kind of looks like we're passing through the peak in term of number of cases.
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