Forum The Longship State of the MN Vikings Franchise

State of the MN Vikings Franchise

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Nobody wants the season to end, especially the way it had to happen. But inevitably I knew there would be a morning I'd post my writeup on the current Vikings franchise and how this team is likely much more sustainable than the 2009 team that also fell in the NFC Championship game. The entire front office deserves credit for this. Sustainability in the NFL is hard to come by and is truly a team effort. Cost controllable draft picks, strong cap management, and strategically dipping into FA all have to work in harmony. Below I walk through each position as we enter the off-season while taking a look at the cap and adding some high level thoughts. 

Quarterback: 

  • Under Contract: Kyle Sloter
  • Not Under Contract: Case Keenum (UFA), Sam Bradford (UFA), Teddy Bridgewater (UFA) 
The Vikings off-season will be centered around how they handle the QB position. Kyle Sloter will return to compete for the #2/#3 QB spot on the roster, but the rest is undecided. With only a non-guaranteed $0.5M allocated to the position every option is on the table. The franchise tag will be roughly $23M this off-season. The Vikings have until March 6th to apply the tag. Look for the Vikings to wait until that point before making any pivotal decisions. Don't discount the Vikings making a play for a veteran UFA it they come available (Cousins/Brees/Smith). 

Running Back: 

  • Under Contract: Dalvin Cook, Latavius Murray, C.J. Ham 
  • Not Under Contract: Jerrick McKinnon (UFA), Bishop Sankey (RFA), Mack Brown (ERFA)
Dalvin Cook should be ready to go prior to training camp and will be in-line for 200+ carries in 2018. After that things are not nearly as black and white. Latavius Murray is a cut/restructure candidate. His contract was designed in a way to give the Vikings a choice to continue the relationship after 2018. Releasing Murray would save $5.15M against the cap. More likely than not the Vikings will need to decide between resigning Jet or retaining Murray. The question is who is more replaceable both on and off the field? Jet will be in-line for a nice deal in the range of $4M AAV, which may make the most sense. To fill out the position extending tenders to one or both Sankey and Brown make sense. 

Tight End: 

  • Under Contract: Kyle Rudolph, David Morgan, Blake Bell, Nick Truesdell (PS) 
  • Not Under Contract: None
After the season the Vikings will probably go back to the drawing board at TE. Kyle Rudolph had a strong 2018 and is an extension candidate with an expiring contract in 2019 with no future salary guarantees. David Morgan remains a valuable asset and Blake Bell is worth retaining through at least training camp. Adding another receiving threat at TE would be ideal. Although early, there will be a number of free agent options available. There are also a few intriguing prospects who could be available in rounds 1-3. 

Wide Receiver: 

  • Under Contract: Adam Thielen, Stefon Diggs, Laquon Treadwell, Jarius Wright, Stacy Coley, Brandon Zystra, Rodney Adams (PS), Cayleb Jones (PS)  
  • Not Under Contract: Michael Floyd (UFA)
Having a strong core of playmakers made life easier for Case Keenum all season long. Although its possible the Vikings look to extend Diggs this off-season with only a year remaining on his contract, it may make sense for both sides to wait until 2019. Jarius Wright may end up being forced to once again restructure his deal or risk being cut. Although a valuable 3rd down weapon, his current cap number slightly under $5M doesn't make sense. Look for the team to give Stacy Coley more chances in 2018, they like him. The rest are depth pieces. Although he stayed out of trouble there isn't any guarantee Floyd is brought back for anything more than a minimum salary. 

Exterior O-Line: 

  • Under Contract: Riley Reiff, Mike Remmers, Rashod Hill, Aviante Collins, Cedrick Lang (PS), Dieugot Joseph (PS)
  • Not Under Contract: None
A 2017 off-season that kicked off with the signings of Reiff/Remmers paid huge dividends all season for the Vikings front 5. Reiff solidified himself as the LT moving forward, which is huge. Mike Remmer's future comes down to whether the Vikings prefer to use him outside or prefer to kick him inside to guard. That flexibility may prove to be valuable. Rashod Hill is a valuable swing tackle that is still developing and Aviante Collins improved tremendously showing value as a 6th lineman the last 1/3 of the season. Depending on how the Vikings prefer to use Remmers, tackle is either a low priority or draft need. 

Interior O-Line: 

  • Under Contract: Pat Elflein, Cornelius Edison, Danny Isidora, 
  • Not Under Contract: Nick Easton (RFA), Jeremiah Sirles (RFA), Joe Berger (UFA)
If you want to pick out a single position group that may see a makeover this off-season its the interior O-line. Until anybody hears otherwise its safe to assume that Joe Berger is likely headed for retirement, opening up a hole at RG. Both Nick Easton and Jeremiah Sirles should be expected to receive RFA tenders. It'll be interesting to see which tender the Vikings opt to use on Easton since he was originally an UDFA and may garner outside interest if given an original round tender. As noted above Remmers may slide into the open RG spot, but Danny Isidora could have a chance to show he deserves a shot during camp. Regardless, guard is a potential FA need and or a round 1-3 draft pick. Pat Elflein looks to be the franchise center for years to come. 

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#1 · Jan 22, 9:38 AM
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@"mgobluevikes" said:
@"Geoff Nichols" said:
@"mgobluevikes" said: Why would we keep 2 long snappers?
Just to retain Overbaugh's rights for the time being. Basically it would be the cheapest insurance policy you can buy.  
I think they probably have seen enough of both to know who they should keep based on age, performance, and contract. I didn't see any drop off when McDermott went down. Who's younger and cheaper? I know in the grand scheme of things LS aren't a money issue, but why have them take up space when clearly there are more pressing positions that need depth?
Have to fill the off-season roster with bodies,  he might as well be one of them.
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#22 · Jan 22, 11:54 AM
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@"Norse" said:
Ben Goessling retweeted
Chris Hine52m
Jerick McKinnon said he appreciated his role this season with the Vikings, but as he heads to free agency, he’d ideally like to go somewhere he can be the featured back: “I want bigger and better things for myself. We’ll see what happens.” #Vikings
I love Jet but he will not find a team where he gets a bigger role.  He is what he is a part time change of pace back and that is all. 
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#23 · Jan 22, 12:04 PM
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@"AGRforever" said:
@"mgobluevikes" said:
@"Geoff Nichols" said:
@"mgobluevikes" said: Why would we keep 2 long snappers?
Just to retain Overbaugh's rights for the time being. Basically it would be the cheapest insurance policy you can buy.  
I think they probably have seen enough of both to know who they should keep based on age, performance, and contract. I didn't see any drop off when McDermott went down. Who's younger and cheaper? I know in the grand scheme of things LS aren't a money issue, but why have them take up space when clearly there are more pressing positions that need depth?
you missed the punt block in the saints game?
yer blaming that on the snap?
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#24 · Jan 22, 12:09 PM
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@"PSBLAKE" said:
@"Norse" said:
Ben Goessling retweeted
Chris Hine52m
Jerick McKinnon said he appreciated his role this season with the Vikings, but as he heads to free agency, he’d ideally like to go somewhere he can be the featured back: “I want bigger and better things for myself. We’ll see what happens.” #Vikings
I love Jet but he will not find a team where he gets a bigger role.  He is what he is a part time change of pace back and that is all. 
but he will have almost no role if Cook is healthy which the Vikes have to assume he will be when building their roster for next year.  I hate to see Jet leave,  but he has certainly proven himself good enough for a dual back role in a lightning and thunder type approach.
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#25 · Jan 22, 12:09 PM
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Case looks for Adam and Diggs on every play unless Shurmer specifically calls for the play to go to someone else.

I don't really blame him, but the really good QBs don't lock.onto one or two guys every play. Well, Ben does sometimes with Brown, but can you blame him either? 

More cerebral guys will read the Defense and adjust to the WR they feel has the best chance to get open based on what they are seeing.  They also know that helps open things up more because it forces the Defense to react to your #3 and #4 WRs killing their Nickel and Dime CBs.

That's another knock against both Case and Teddy. They're both guys who go with the called play and rarely audible into anything else. Sure, both will go through progressions post-snap when the primary read is covered. But they're not guys who beat you pre-snap.

I want a QB that can read Defenses and audible out of runs into stacked boxes and makes the right decisions to involve more playmakers besides the Big Two.

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#26 · Jan 22, 12:25 PM
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@"PSBLAKE" said:
@"Norse" said:
Ben Goessling retweeted
Chris Hine52m
Jerick McKinnon said he appreciated his role this season with the Vikings, but as he heads to free agency, he’d ideally like to go somewhere he can be the featured back: “I want bigger and better things for myself. We’ll see what happens.” #Vikings
I love Jet but he will not find a team where he gets a bigger role.  He is what he is a part time change of pace back and that is all. 
I agree but I think he could be a starter in a shared backfield, like McCaffery and Stewart.

I'd prefer him over Murray if I had to choose who to pay equal dollar amounts to.

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#27 · Jan 22, 12:28 PM
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@"FSUVike" said: Case looks for Adam and Diggs on every play unless Shurmer specifically calls for the play to go to someone else.

I don't really blame him, but the really good QBs don't lock.onto one or two guys every play. Well, Ben does sometimes with Brown, but can you blame him either? 

More cerebral guys will read the Defense and adjust to the WR they feel has the best chance to get open based on what they are seeing.  They also know that helps open things up more because it forces the Defense to react to your #3 and #4 WRs killing their Nickel and Dime CBs.

That's another knock against both Case and Teddy. They're both guys who go with the called play and rarely audible into anything else. Sure, both will go through progressions post-snap when the primary read is covered. But they're not guys who beat you pre-snap.

I want a QB that can read Defenses and audible out of runs into stacked boxes and makes the right decisions to involve more playmakers besides the Big Two.


i dont think to many QBs are going to get free reign right out of the gate with a new OC.  Teddy was in his second year,  first as a full time starter and was running Norvs very structured O,  Teddy could make small adjustments at the line,  but he couldnt completely change to a play he thought would be better IIRC.   I am not sure how much rope Case had this year,  didnt seem like much considering how many times he handed the ball of when the D showed 8-9 in the box pre snap.  I think Sam last year wasnt getting to change plays for most of the season, but I am not positive on that.  very few QBs get free reign and I would be even less get it until they are a veteran of the system.

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#28 · Jan 22, 12:31 PM
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@"FSUVike" said: Case looks for Adam and Diggs on every play unless Shurmer specifically calls for the play to go to someone else.

I don't really blame him, but the really good QBs don't lock.onto one or two guys every play. Well, Ben does sometimes with Brown, but can you blame him either? 

More cerebral guys will read the Defense and adjust to the WR they feel has the best chance to get open based on what they are seeing.  They also know that helps open things up more because it forces the Defense to react to your #3 and #4 WRs killing their Nickel and Dime CBs.

That's another knock against both Case and Teddy. They're both guys who go with the called play and rarely audible into anything else. Sure, both will go through progressions post-snap when the primary read is covered. But they're not guys who beat you pre-snap.

I want a QB that can read Defenses and audible out of runs into stacked boxes and makes the right decisions to involve more playmakers besides the Big Two.


What you describe is what 1/2 the NFL is still looking for  ;)

But on a more serious note, I do agree that Keenum can get stuck on his reads from time to time. The good thing is that both Diggs and Thielen get good seperation and can give him a target rather quickly. 

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#29 · Jan 22, 12:38 PM
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@"NodakViking" said:
@"PSBLAKE" said:
@"Norse" said:
Ben Goessling retweeted
Chris Hine52m
Jerick McKinnon said he appreciated his role this season with the Vikings, but as he heads to free agency, he’d ideally like to go somewhere he can be the featured back: “I want bigger and better things for myself. We’ll see what happens.” #Vikings
I love Jet but he will not find a team where he gets a bigger role.  He is what he is a part time change of pace back and that is all. 
I agree but I think he could be a starter in a shared backfield, like McCaffery and Stewart.

I'd prefer him over Murray if I had to choose who to pay equal dollar amounts to.



He probably will have the opportunity to get a larger role. But in Jet's mind if the Vikings move on from Murray is that a big enough role? Its all subjective. 

The money is what will be key. He may be able to find a better role elsewhere, but he won't get as much money guaranteed. If he accepts a role similar to what he did this season he'll get more guaranteed but the upside for more money won't be there. 

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#30 · Jan 22, 12:40 PM
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See, I think Alex Smith is the kind of player an OC can trust. He's been in several different systems and has usually been allowed to audible.

Any more it seems most plays come in from the sidelines with both a run and pass option based on what the QB srrs the Defense doing. The last few years it just feels like whichever QB was under Center was just going to roll with the initial call.

Give me a guy like Smith who will see Jarius lined up on a scrub or rookie or Floyd or Treadwell having a significant height advantage and take that opportunity vs. always throwing to guys who routinely get double covered.
 

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#31 · Jan 22, 2:03 PM
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Ive never been a huge Smith fan, but the guy is a trustworthy winner. Put him in with our D and we win 12-13 games while Sloter develops or we draft our guy. I still love Teddy, but is his knee going to make it?
With how open our guys ALWAYS are, get an accurate, safe passer in here who can hit one or two over the top a game, give us 1 more OL in the draft to allow Hill to move back to the bench and suddenly our O is really good. Get the replacement 3DT and suddenly we are right back here next year but talking about our win.

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#32 · Jan 22, 2:10 PM
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@"mgobluevikes" said:
@"AGRforever" said:
@"mgobluevikes" said:
@"Geoff Nichols" said:
@"mgobluevikes" said: Why would we keep 2 long snappers?
Just to retain Overbaugh's rights for the time being. Basically it would be the cheapest insurance policy you can buy.  
I think they probably have seen enough of both to know who they should keep based on age, performance, and contract. I didn't see any drop off when McDermott went down. Who's younger and cheaper? I know in the grand scheme of things LS aren't a money issue, but why have them take up space when clearly there are more pressing positions that need depth?
you missed the punt block in the saints game?
yer blaming that on the snap?
nope the missed asignment  blocking
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#33 · Jan 22, 2:15 PM
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@"Neptizzle" said: Ive never been a huge Smith fan, but the guy is a trustworthy winner. Put him in with our D and we win 12-13 games while Sloter develops or we draft our guy. I still love Teddy, but is his knee going to make it? With how open our guys ALWAYS are, get an accurate, safe passer in here who can hit one or two over the top a game, give us 1 more OL in the draft to allow Hill to move back to the bench and suddenly our O is really good. Get the replacement 3DT and suddenly we are right back here next year but talking about our win.


We're on the same page, friend. Not liking the DT FA Class, though. Poe and Richardson are the best but will want monster deals and seem to play better in contract years.

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#34 · Jan 22, 2:18 PM
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Thanks for the analysis.  I have to call out this: "Ryan Quigley had one the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history and should return without competition."  Really?!  I hope you don't try to run that past Greg Coleman or Mitch Berger.  Quigley was DEAD LAST among qualifying punters in gross punting average (34th in league and a full yard worse than #33).  He did a good job avoiding touch backs, but even his net average, with a good cover team was 29th in the league.  Inside the 20?  A stupid stat since no one is happy if the punter gets a fair catch at the 18 yard line when punting from mid-field -- but Quigley was a respectable tied for 10th.  I'd debate the notion that it is worth having Quigley back at all; vehemently disagree that he should not have competition; and flat out questions your sanity to say he had "one of the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history."

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#35 · Jan 22, 2:39 PM
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@"Purpleblooded" said: Thanks for the analysis.  I have to call out this: "Ryan Quigley had one the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history and should return without competition."  Really?!  I hope you don't try to run that past Greg Coleman or Mitch Berger.  Quigley was DEAD LAST among qualifying punters in gross punting average (34th in league and a full yard worse than #33).  He did a good job avoiding touch backs, but even his net average, with a good cover team was 29th in the league.  Inside the 20?  A stupid stat since no one is happy if the punter gets a fair catch at the 18 yard line when punting from mid-field -- but Quigley was a respectable tied for 10th.  I'd debate the notion that it is worth having Quigley back at all; vehemently disagree that he should not have competition; and flat out questions your sanity to say he had "one of the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history."


Ask Preifer. The Vikings don't kick for distance. They kick for coverage. 

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#36 · Jan 22, 3:15 PM
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@"Geoff Nichols" said:
@"Purpleblooded" said: Thanks for the analysis.  I have to call out this: "Ryan Quigley had one the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history and should return without competition."  Really?!  I hope you don't try to run that past Greg Coleman or Mitch Berger.  Quigley was DEAD LAST among qualifying punters in gross punting average (34th in league and a full yard worse than #33).  He did a good job avoiding touch backs, but even his net average, with a good cover team was 29th in the league.  Inside the 20?  A stupid stat since no one is happy if the punter gets a fair catch at the 18 yard line when punting from mid-field -- but Quigley was a respectable tied for 10th.  I'd debate the notion that it is worth having Quigley back at all; vehemently disagree that he should not have competition; and flat out questions your sanity to say he had "one of the best seasons for a punter in Vikings history."


Ask Preifer. The Vikings don't kick for distance. They kick for coverage. 

Which is why you look at net.  29th in the league.  Right there with the all-time greats!

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#37 · Jan 22, 4:16 PM
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As mentioned above, we kick for coverage.  We were #1 in fewest touchbacks (0), #1 in fair catches by a wide margin - 33, #2 Indy had 27; we were 6th in fewest punts returned.    Not as good at punts inside the 20 as it felt from just watching - a 6 way tie for 17th which is bottom half.

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#38 · Jan 22, 5:25 PM
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forgive me if this is a stupid question ( i dont know contract rules like some of you guys!) but if we lose McKinnon or Teddy or Sam are we owed any compensatory picks?  I know we have no contracts with Teddy and Sam.  Can we use a transition tag or something so if they walk we at least get a draft pick as consolation?

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#39 · Jan 22, 6:38 PM
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Is McKinnon going to head to NYG?

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#40 · Jan 22, 6:46 PM
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@"medaille" said:What's the deal with Floyd and Treadwell having so little production?  You'd think that between the 2 of them, they'd be able to stumble into something that resembles an NFL receiver, but combined they have less than 280 yards.  Is there something in our scheme or something in Case that is inhibiting them?  Floyd has had multiple years hovering around 1000 yds, so it’s not like he’s completely worthless.  I would hope that any FA X receiver we bring in would at least be able to get at least 500 yards.
Case seems to rarely make it to his third or fourth reads and has a tendency to just force plays to Thielen and Diggs. Thankfully, they are good enough to win those contested matchups more often than not, but it lead to some really ill-advised plays. With Treadwell, he did make some plays and even drew pass interferences when given the chance, but he was almost like a 4th read for Case. Case would look for Thielen, Diggs, try to force it to one of them, and then look to Treadwell. Wright got more opportunities, but I agree with others who think Wright had designed plays where he was the first or second read.
As for Floyd, he just does not look as fast and athletic as he was in Arizona. To be fair, the dude has gone through a lot over the past two years, so his training may have slipped as he's shifted his focus to working on other areas of his life. Not sure if that's the case, but he was used more as a blocker than as a receiver.

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#41 · Jan 23, 12:36 AM
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