Minimum Return for D. Hunter
I am seeing a lot of trade speculation across the Internet regarding Danielle Hunter -- what would you require as the minimum draft capital return in a trade for you not to criticize Kwesi?
Kind of depends in where he's getting traded to and what part of those rounds the picks would likely come.
I like the idea of getting ammo out of Hunter for our QBOF. so whatever gets that done let it be
We'll get what the market will bear. And since there is more than one team interested, it should be fairly accurate.
But to me it will be more about the return vs. what Hunter wants. If we find out, for example, that Hunter was only asking for $15M per (the top 3 edges make over $25M per) and we sold him for a day-two pick, I'm not going to be happy.
By the same token, if he wants $25M, and we can get a 1st round pick, I probably pull the trigger.
At a minimum I think a young developing player with high potential and a day two pick. This team could still use upgrades at C, OG, LB, and backup QB, so I wouldn't rule out trading for a proven up and coming player. I get so tired of players like Hunter who don't want to be on the team. The Vikings continued to make him a very wealthy young man while he was injured for 2 seasons, and now he acts like he's being disrespected.I wasn't all that impressed with his play last season compared to pre-injury. I for one won't mind when, and if they move on from him.
He is one of the best young pass rushers in the league, proved the injuries were behind him last year while also proving he can be a very productive player in whichever scheme you want to run..
The minimum would have to be a projected mid 1st round pick and probably a conditional 3rd that could bump up to a 2nd depending on playing time and production.
If Cook and Hunter have so much value why are teams not giving up draft capitol to obtain them?
@"supafreak84" said: He is one of the best young pass rushers in the league, proved the injuries were behind him last year while also proving he can be a very productive player in whichever scheme you want to run..The minimum would have to be a projected mid 1st round pick and probably a conditional 3rd that could bump up to a 2nd depending on playing time and production.
He'll want longer, guaranteed $$...
The tricky part is he is "kinda" young this year, and not young next year. Still should be productive though.
And some part of this contract negotiation has to take into account the last two years of being sidelined and the legit questions it raises on a forward basis.
Problem is there really is nobody else on D at his caliber and even with him, this Flores d may struggle.
@"supafreak84" said: He is one of the best young pass rushers in the league, proved the injuries were behind him last year while also proving he can be a very productive player in whichever scheme you want to run..The minimum would have to be a projected mid 1st round pick and probably a conditional 3rd that could bump up to a 2nd depending on playing time and production.
Hunter was tied for 17th in sacks last year, doesnt have the big frame that you typically see with DL that play well in their 30s ( the long and lean guys tend to break down earlier IMO ), and has an injury history. I know we all think he is the shit, and is a lot of fun to watch when he is dealiong, but if you step back and look at it as a GM for another team, and we are all guessing Hunter wants top money and security... its pretty hard to be offering to much if that is what you are facing.
I am guessing a day 2 pick this year with a day 3 pick next year that could move up to a day 2 pick with play and performance marks. if its a higher caliber team you may see them give more since their picks are likely late round and wouldnt carry as much value. I would love to see the 1s that some expect, but I just dont see it happening.
@"JimmyinSD" said:@"supafreak84" said: He is one of the best young pass rushers in the league, proved the injuries were behind him last year while also proving he can be a very productive player in whichever scheme you want to run..The minimum would have to be a projected mid 1st round pick and probably a conditional 3rd that could bump up to a 2nd depending on playing time and production.
Hunter was tied for 17th in sacks last year, doesnt have the big frame that you typically see with DL that play well in their 30s ( the long and lean guys tend to break down earlier IMO ), and has an injury history. I know we all think he is the shit, and is a lot of fun to watch when he is dealiong, but if you step back and look at it as a GM for another team, and we are all guessing Hunter wants top money and security... its pretty hard to be offering to much if that is what you are facing.
Yeah but he was playing in a completely new scheme as a 3-4 OLB where his pass rush opportunities where partially negated by having to flank out into coverage on some of these passing downs. I look at what Denver was able to get for Bradley Chubb, who isn't half the player Hunter is, and there's is no way I take anything less then a similar type deal
It's helpful to look at any potential trade from the perspective of the trading partner, rather than just from our perspective of he's great and we want a lot for him-because the deal will get made, if it gets made, somewhere in the middle of those two extremes.
So if I'm a g.m. looking to trade for Hunter, I'm going to offer a 2nd or maybe even a 3rd just to make it seem like I'm conceding when I up it to a 2nd, conditional on me and his agent working out a deal we can live with. That could hold up any trade if his demands don't make sense to any trade partner. He'll be 29 this fall and that is where the fall off begins for a lot of players. Also he has an injury history. I'll bring up all those argments when I tell the Vikings why I'm not paying a 1st for him.
The Vikings will counter with the various arguments made in this thread, and I suspect the deal would be something like a 2nd plus another pick, maybe a 3rd or more likely 4th. I think the team should hold out and try to find a partner who'd give up a 1st, but it's a tough sell imo.
You have to use other similar, recent trades involving pass rushers as the model. Here are some recent pass rusher trades;
- Bradley Chubb traded to Miami for 1st and 5th round picks.
- Von Miller to the Rams for 2nd and 3rd round picks. Miller was 32 at the time.
- Khalil Mack traded to Chicago for two 1st round picks. Mack traded again to the Chargers for a 2nd round pick in 2022.
To me you are talking about a package of high picks in any trade for Hunter. I think any contender in need of a pass rusher would happily part with a 1st round pick for an elite 28 year old pass rusher..
First and a third
@"supafreak84" said: You have to use other similar, recent trades involving pass rushers as the model. Here are some recent pass rusher trades;- Bradley Chubb traded to Miami for 1st and 5th round picks.
- Von Miller to the Rams for 2nd and 3rd round picks. Miller was 32 at the time.
- Khalil Mack traded to Chicago for two 1st round picks. Mack traded again to the Chargers for a 2nd round pick in 2022.
To me you are talking about a package of high picks in any trade for Hunter. I think any contender in need of a pass rusher would happily part with a 1st round pick for an elite 28 year old pass rusher..
Chubb is an interesting comp. He's two years younger than Hunter and was still on his rookie contract at the time of the trade. That makes a HUGE difference.
However, Hunter is twice the player Chubb is. I know all fans see is sacks, but Hunter is one of the league's best run defenders as well. For example, Hunter's career PFF grade averages in the 80s. Chubb barely scratches 60.
In terms of sacks, Hunter averages 1 sack per game started, which is utterly ridiculous. Chubb's is half that. Who's a bigger injury concern? When he was traded, Chubb had missed 23 games due to injury over the previous three seasons.
Vikings won't be able to get what the Broncos got for Chubb (age and contract), but whoever gets Hunter is going to get an epic steal. I think that's exactly why teams are calling.
@"MaroonBells" said:@"supafreak84" said: You have to use other similar, recent trades involving pass rushers as the model. Here are some recent pass rusher trades;- Bradley Chubb traded to Miami for 1st and 5th round picks.
- Von Miller to the Rams for 2nd and 3rd round picks. Miller was 32 at the time.
- Khalil Mack traded to Chicago for two 1st round picks. Mack traded again to the Chargers for a 2nd round pick in 2022.
To me you are talking about a package of high picks in any trade for Hunter. I think any contender in need of a pass rusher would happily part with a 1st round pick for an elite 28 year old pass rusher..
Chubb is an interesting comp. He's two years younger than Hunter and was still on his rookie contract at the time of the trade. That makes a HUGE difference.However, Hunter is twice the player Chubb is. I know all fans see is sacks, but Hunter is one of the league's best run defenders as well. For example, Hunter's career PFF grade averages in the 80s. Chubb barely scratches 60.
In terms of sacks, Hunter averages 1 sack per game started, which is utterly ridiculous. Chubb's is half that. Who's a bigger injury concern? When he was traded, Chubb had missed 23 games due to injury over the previous three seasons.
Vikings won't be able to get what the Broncos got for Chubb (age and contract), but whoever gets Hunter is going to get an epic steal. I think that's exactly why teams are calling.
Just looking at a couple teams that I'd assume would, or should have high interest would be Seattle and Baltimore. Seattle has no proven pass rushers, otherwise it's a pretty good looking roster and they should be a playoff team otherwise. The other team would be the Ravens who have no pass rush in what's become an arms race in the division and conference. I think it would make a lot of sense for either of these teams to go after Hunter and give up their 1st round pick, which would likely be a pick later in the round anyways. I just don't think the Vikings should deal him for anything other then a 1st on the heels of the Bradley Chubb deal
Work out the contract extension and don't worry about trade comp---Too damn good to walk away from for 2nd and change
Also Hunter led the NFL last season with 36 QB pressures on 3rd and 4th downs. So yeah, any trade package not including a 1st round pick and these teams can pound sand
@"supafreak84" said: Also Hunter led the NFL last season with 36 QB pressures on 3rd and 4th downs. So yeah, any trade package not including a 1st round pick and these teams can pound sandso let me get this straight, you want the team to deal Cousins because he can walk after next year anyway, but Hunter you have to have a first round pick even though he is also likely to walk after the coming season and is also wanting top tier money? I dont understand the double standard, KC is more important to the O than DH to the D, KC is going to be harder to replace, and KC has been more durable. With both of them I only see about another year or 2 tops before the wheels fall off the wagon. Yes DH is likely higher ranked for his position, but DE is not nearly as valued as QB so taking a third for Cousins, but demanding a first for Hunter doesnt seem to be coming from the same place of logic to me.
@"JimmyinSD" said:What are you talking about? I'm not in favor of trading Hunter at all if the plan is to be competitive this season. However if they want to trade him, based on precedent and production, the Kwes-master better come out of that deal with at least a 1st round pick in return.@"supafreak84" said: Also Hunter led the NFL last season with 36 QB pressures on 3rd and 4th downs. So yeah, any trade package not including a 1st round pick and these teams can pound sand so let me get this straight, you want the team to deal Cousins because he can walk after next year anyway, but Hunter you have to have a first round pick even though he is also likely to walk after the coming season and is also wanting top tier money? I dont understand the double standard, KC is more important to the O than DH to the D, KC is going to be harder to replace, and KC has been more durable. With both of them I only see about another year or 2 tops before the wheels fall off the wagon. Yes DH is likely higher ranked for his position, but DE is not nearly as valued as QB so taking a third for Cousins, but demanding a first for Hunter doesnt seem to be coming from the same place of logic to me.If they trade Hunter, then it doesn't make sense to me to hold on to Cousins and be "kinda good" while jettisoning all the other older veterans on the roster because we wont be competitive anyway. Trade him, take a tank year, regroup next offseason with a likely top ten pick, cap space, and bring in some actual impact young players that we can build around for the long term. Again, if they really wanted Cousins in the first place and thought he was "the guy" he'd already be signed to an extension and this wouldn't be a conversation, but he's not....therefor it is
@"supafreak84" said:@"JimmyinSD" said:What are you talking about? I'm not in favor of trading Hunter at all if the plan is to be competitive this season. However if they want to trade him, based on precedent and production, the Kwes-master better come out of that deal with at least a 1st round pick in return.@"supafreak84" said: Also Hunter led the NFL last season with 36 QB pressures on 3rd and 4th downs. So yeah, any trade package not including a 1st round pick and these teams can pound sand so let me get this straight, you want the team to deal Cousins because he can walk after next year anyway, but Hunter you have to have a first round pick even though he is also likely to walk after the coming season and is also wanting top tier money? I dont understand the double standard, KC is more important to the O than DH to the D, KC is going to be harder to replace, and KC has been more durable. With both of them I only see about another year or 2 tops before the wheels fall off the wagon. Yes DH is likely higher ranked for his position, but DE is not nearly as valued as QB so taking a third for Cousins, but demanding a first for Hunter doesnt seem to be coming from the same place of logic to me.If they trade Hunter, then it doesn't make sense to me to hold on to Cousins and be "kinda good" while jettisoning all the other older veterans on the roster because we wont be competitive anyway. Trade him, take a tank year, regroup next offseason with a likely top ten pick, cap space, and bring in some actual impact young players that we can build around for the long term. Again, if they really wanted Cousins in the first place and thought he was "the guy" he'd already be signed to an extension and this wouldn't be a conversation, but he's not....therefor it is
SO... if you are ok with them moving KC, since they dont think he is the guy, that would say they arent all in as well and moving Hunter would be a no brainer as well since they are both on the last year of their deals and neither have been re-signed to date.I dont buy the competitive rebuild notion, if they keep fucking around with "competitive" the task of rebuilding a better roster is more challenging as you cant afford to make a run from the late teens to mid 20s to a top position if you are targeting real impact players at key positions like QB or even coveted DL. sure you can luck into some guys dropping, but I dont trust that we will take that guy anyway as there will always be some metric that says to take the WR.
@"JimmyinSD" said:@"supafreak84" said:@"JimmyinSD" said:What are you talking about? I'm not in favor of trading Hunter at all if the plan is to be competitive this season. However if they want to trade him, based on precedent and production, the Kwes-master better come out of that deal with at least a 1st round pick in return.@"supafreak84" said: Also Hunter led the NFL last season with 36 QB pressures on 3rd and 4th downs. So yeah, any trade package not including a 1st round pick and these teams can pound sand so let me get this straight, you want the team to deal Cousins because he can walk after next year anyway, but Hunter you have to have a first round pick even though he is also likely to walk after the coming season and is also wanting top tier money? I dont understand the double standard, KC is more important to the O than DH to the D, KC is going to be harder to replace, and KC has been more durable. With both of them I only see about another year or 2 tops before the wheels fall off the wagon. Yes DH is likely higher ranked for his position, but DE is not nearly as valued as QB so taking a third for Cousins, but demanding a first for Hunter doesnt seem to be coming from the same place of logic to me.If they trade Hunter, then it doesn't make sense to me to hold on to Cousins and be "kinda good" while jettisoning all the other older veterans on the roster because we wont be competitive anyway. Trade him, take a tank year, regroup next offseason with a likely top ten pick, cap space, and bring in some actual impact young players that we can build around for the long term. Again, if they really wanted Cousins in the first place and thought he was "the guy" he'd already be signed to an extension and this wouldn't be a conversation, but he's not....therefor it is
SO... if you are ok with them moving KC, since they dont think he is the guy, that would say they arent all in as well and moving Hunter would be a no brainer as well since they are both on the last year of their deals and neither have been re-signed to date.I dont buy the competitive rebuild notion, if they keep fucking around with "competitive" the task of rebuilding a better roster is more challenging as you cant afford to make a run from the late teens to mid 20s to a top position if you are targeting real impact players at key positions like QB or even coveted DL. sure you can luck into some guys dropping, but I dont trust that we will take that guy anyway as there will always be some metric that says to take the WR.
I think you could make the argument for keeping Hunter while getting rid of Cousins from the age perspective. There's a seven year age difference. Hunter won't be 29 until Halloween while Cousins turns 35 prior to the season. I could feel pretty good about giving Hunter a 3 or 4 year deal and reasonably expecting the same type of production, where there is no way you give Cousins that same kind of deal. I personally feel if you keep one, you should keep them both though in the interest of being competitive.But I do completely agree with you that the "competitive" part doesn't really lend to being in position to acquire that elusive franchise QB. The price tag becomes very steep trying to move up into position when you are drafting in the late teens to early 20's in the interest of trying to remain "competitive."
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