Forum The Longship Select a QB in the upcoming Draft

Select a QB in the upcoming Draft

StickierBuns
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Nothing against Cousins, I think he's underrated, but he's on the line for 2 more guaranteed contract seasons after this one. Great time period for a young rookie to sit and learn with no pressure. The game is changing and I think its time to look toward that evolution in the next Gen QB in Minnesota. Take a big upside kid, maybe a bit raw. But athletic. Maybe in rounds 2-4 somewhere. He'd learn great QB habits, work ethic and professionalism from Cousins. Can win with this roster and Cousins, but now is the time to prepare for the near future also. I don't see Minnesota committing to another contract with Cousins if this team doesn't get to a Superbowl at the end of his deal.

You can see where the NFL is going. If your name isn't Brady, Big Ben, Rodgers or Brees, you need some mobility and a bigger arm. 

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#1 · Dec 3, 8:22 AM
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there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.

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#2 · Dec 3, 8:36 AM
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@"JimmyinSD" said: there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.
Yep. We'll see exactly how the team feels about Sloter this offseason and during the Draft. Sloter has the athletic ability and arm strength, just don't know if the team views him as a possible #1 guy. That might be a bridge too far for the kid.
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#3 · Dec 3, 8:37 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said: there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.
Yep. We'll see exactly how the team feels about Sloter this offseason and during the Draft. Sloter has the athletic ability and arm strength, just don't know if the team views him as a possible #1 guy. That might be a bridge too far for the guy.
I wouldnt be opposed to seeing him get some game experience down the stretch this year if the situation allows.  they obviously arent going to activate him if playoffs are on the line,  but getting him out there for a few quarters if the situation is decided would at least give the fans a reason to tune in.  of course if he looks good then you will have a 60 million dollar skism.. so likely not to see him anytime soon.   adding his athleticism to this O with the big arm could spark something.. Cousins seems to be in a fog the last few weeks...  I am thinking shell shocked or playing through something that we arent privy to.
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#4 · Dec 3, 8:42 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said: there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.
Yep. We'll see exactly how the team feels about Sloter this offseason and during the Draft. Sloter has the athletic ability and arm strength, just don't know if the team views him as a possible #1 guy. That might be a bridge too far for the kid.
I don't think they see him as a # 1 either. Perhaps because of his size. But looking back to this years preseason, he was the only Vikings QB that played well. And he did play well. Cousins looked like check down Charlie, other than one throw to Diggs against Denver. And Siemian looked terrible. Sloter was placed in limbo when Cousins was signed. I'm not saying he has the potential to be Drew Brees, but I fear they will never give him the chance to find out. He has performed well every time he has had a chance to. Two weaknesses in Spielman's ability to evaluate talent are QB and offensive linemen!
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#5 · Dec 3, 9:05 AM
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@"jargomcfargo" said:
@"StickyBun" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said: there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.
Yep. We'll see exactly how the team feels about Sloter this offseason and during the Draft. Sloter has the athletic ability and arm strength, just don't know if the team views him as a possible #1 guy. That might be a bridge too far for the kid.
I don't think they see him as a # 1 either. Perhaps because of his size. But looking back to this years preseason, he was the only Vikings QB that played well. And he did play well. Cousins looked like check down Charlie, other than one throw to Diggs against Denver. And Siemian looked terrible. Sloter was placed in limbo when Cousins was signed. I'm not saying he has the potential to be Drew Brees, but I fear they will never give him the chance to find out. He has performed well every time he has had a chance to. Two weaknesses in Spielman's ability to evaluate talent are QB and offensive linemen!
whats wrong with his size?  6-4 and about 220 seems about perfect IMO.
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#6 · Dec 3, 9:15 AM
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@"StickyBun" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said: there should always be a QB in waiting IMO,  to big of a position to not have a plan B in the system.   if its not Sloter then yes,  they damn well better be getting one in here.
Yep. We'll see exactly how the team feels about Sloter this offseason and during the Draft. Sloter has the athletic ability and arm strength, just don't know if the team views him as a possible #1 guy. That might be a bridge too far for the kid.
All we have to go on is what we've seen to date. 6-5, 220, good arm, good mobility, 73% completion percentage, 800 yards, 7 TDs, 0 INTs, for a QB rating around 120...albeit in preseason games (against 3s, but also using 3s). 

Any of this mean he has a future in the NFL? Of course not. But it does mean you give him every opportunity to prove he's not the next Tony Romo, Kurt Warner or Warren Moon before you let another team get a crack at him. 

I'd draft a QB, too. We have to replace Siemian, which we could probably do with a late rounder. But we also have to guard against Sloter not taking the next step, so I'd bump that up to 4th round, which is an area where he probably has enough upside to compete directly with Sloter for #2. 

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#7 · Dec 3, 9:29 AM
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Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?

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#8 · Dec 3, 9:41 AM
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I think our clear priority for the offseason is getting 2
legit starting caliber guards, whether it’s in FA or the draft.  We need an OLine in front of whatever QB we
have and to give our OC a chance to run a balanced offense.  If we need to use our first two picks in the
draft on OLine, than so be it.  I’m 100%
in alignment with picking up another QB though, as long as it doesn’t interfere
with us getting our OLine figured out.  I
just don’t want another subpar FA pickup as part of the solution.  Best FA available and/or the best prospects
we can get.

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#9 · Dec 3, 9:50 AM
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@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 

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#10 · Dec 3, 9:54 AM
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@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


I don't see Minnesota taking a QB in the first two rounds for sure. Drafting a 3rd rounder or later doesn't really suggest competition for Cousins. 

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#11 · Dec 3, 10:34 AM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 


I dont think we need to go a first rounder,  but if we are taking a player.... lets take a player,  sure some QBs can be found in the later rounds,  but if we are talking about a guy that could be ready to take over for KC in 2 years if his contract demands are rediculous.. well then lets take a QB,  spending a mid round draft pick with the goal of not being good enought to challenge for the starting job seems wrong to me.  if the right guy is there in the 2nd or 3rd.. well nab him up and make capn kirk beat him.  of course I think we have more pressing needs than a back up QB,  I think Sloter should be the #2 already based on what we have seen,  but if he isnt... then they better be ready to get a guy that will be that and more with time.

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#12 · Dec 3, 10:44 AM
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Justin Herbert from Oregon is an interesting prospect, if he declares.  Big, big arm and good size.  Raw.   Needs to sit a few years, not nearly as polished as Mariota was coming out.  But that also means due to his mediocre season he's not going Top 5 in the draft, so that works in our favor.

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#13 · Dec 3, 10:59 AM
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@"SFVikeFan" said: Justin Herbert from Oregon is an interesting prospect, if he declares.  Big, big arm and good size.  Raw.   Needs to sit a few years, not nearly as polished as Mariota was coming out.  But that also means due to his mediocre season he's not going Top 5 in the draft, so that works in our favor.
One thing I like about Cousins is that he never seems to get hurt (knock wood). Some QBs are like that. They just know how to fall or something. Favre was that kind of QB. Herbert is the other kind.
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#14 · Dec 3, 11:22 AM
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@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 


I dont think we need to go a first rounder,  but if we are taking a player.... lets take a player,  sure some QBs can be found in the later rounds,  but if we are talking about a guy that could be ready to take over for KC in 2 years if his contract demands are rediculous.. well then lets take a QB,  spending a mid round draft pick with the goal of not being good enought to challenge for the starting job seems wrong to me.  if the right guy is there in the 2nd or 3rd.. well nab him up and make capn kirk beat him.  of course I think we have more pressing needs than a back up QB,  I think Sloter should be the #2 already based on what we have seen,  but if he isnt... then they better be ready to get a guy that will be that and more with time.


In my opinion, there are two kinds of QBs in the draft. Those who are top 10 picks (potential franchise QBs), and everyone else. So little difference between QBs taken outside of the top 10 and those you can get late, or even after the draft. 

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#15 · Dec 3, 11:37 AM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 


I dont think we need to go a first rounder,  but if we are taking a player.... lets take a player,  sure some QBs can be found in the later rounds,  but if we are talking about a guy that could be ready to take over for KC in 2 years if his contract demands are rediculous.. well then lets take a QB,  spending a mid round draft pick with the goal of not being good enought to challenge for the starting job seems wrong to me.  if the right guy is there in the 2nd or 3rd.. well nab him up and make capn kirk beat him.  of course I think we have more pressing needs than a back up QB,  I think Sloter should be the #2 already based on what we have seen,  but if he isnt... then they better be ready to get a guy that will be that and more with time.


In my opinion, there are two kinds of QBs in the draft. Those who are top 10 picks (potential franchise QBs), and everyone else. So little difference between QBs taken outside of the top 10 and those you can get late, or even after the draft. 


I think you need to add a few more categories.

IMO there are those that come in pretty much ready to play,  they could benefit from a little seasoning on the bench but they can play right away.
there are those that have to have some prep work but will eventually put it together and have nice careers...maybe even great careers... hell look at brady.
there are those that even with seasoning their ceiling is journeyman clip board holder, game manager at best
and those that are brought in simply to take some snaps/reps in camp.  never a real shot at developing or making a practice squad let alone a roster.

oh yeah.... and theres the Joe Webb experiments.. not sure where to rank those guys.

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#16 · Dec 3, 11:42 AM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"SFVikeFan" said: Justin Herbert from Oregon is an interesting prospect, if he declares.  Big, big arm and good size.  Raw.   Needs to sit a few years, not nearly as polished as Mariota was coming out.  But that also means due to his mediocre season he's not going Top 5 in the draft, so that works in our favor.
One thing I like about Cousins is that he never seems to get hurt (knock wood). Some QBs are like that. They just know how to fall or something. Favre was that kind of QB. Herbert is the other kind.
Herbert does have issues, staying healthy is just one of them, which is why I could see him sliding out of the Top 10.   But in terms of tools and skillset, he's on the short list of 3-4 QB's with Round 1 talent.  I honestly think he's going to return to Oregon and play his senior year, his confidence is lacking.  He's painfully shy, awkward in interviews ... just a local Eugene kid who somehow ended up being a starter for a national program in his hometown.
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#17 · Dec 3, 12:05 PM
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Here's a darkhorse for a 4th-5th round QB pick that has some low level buzz with scouts, but not nationally: 

Jacob Dolegala, QB, Central Connecticut  
Height: 6-6. Weight: 235.  
Projected 40 Time: 4.80. 

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#18 · Dec 3, 12:16 PM
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@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 


I dont think we need to go a first rounder,  but if we are taking a player.... lets take a player,  sure some QBs can be found in the later rounds,  but if we are talking about a guy that could be ready to take over for KC in 2 years if his contract demands are rediculous.. well then lets take a QB,  spending a mid round draft pick with the goal of not being good enought to challenge for the starting job seems wrong to me.  if the right guy is there in the 2nd or 3rd.. well nab him up and make capn kirk beat him.  of course I think we have more pressing needs than a back up QB,  I think Sloter should be the #2 already based on what we have seen,  but if he isnt... then they better be ready to get a guy that will be that and more with time.


In my opinion, there are two kinds of QBs in the draft. Those who are top 10 picks (potential franchise QBs), and everyone else. So little difference between QBs taken outside of the top 10 and those you can get late, or even after the draft. 


I think you need to add a few more categories.

IMO there are those that come in pretty much ready to play,  they could benefit from a little seasoning on the bench but they can play right away.
there are those that have to have some prep work but will eventually put it together and have nice careers...maybe even great careers... hell look at brady.
there are those that even with seasoning their ceiling is journeyman clip board holder, game manager at best
and those that are brought in simply to take some snaps/reps in camp.  never a real shot at developing or making a practice squad let alone a roster.

oh yeah.... and theres the Joe Webb experiments.. not sure where to rank those guys.



I think there are other categories for other positions, but not so much QBs. You have the franchise guys, taken at the top because they're recognized as such (even though only about half turn out). And everyone else. And there's such little difference between guys taken late in round 1 and guys taken on day three. I think if you look at draft history (http://www.drafthistory.com/index.php/positions/qb) the hit rate on QBs outside of the top 10 is pretty low. And it doesn't improve a lot as you get higher in the draft.

If you look at every starting QB in the NFL, they were either taken high as a franchise guy, or someone got lucky. Brady (6th), Cousins (4th), Keenun (UDFA), Prescott (4th), Russel (3rd). Of the top of my head, I can think of no day-two "developmental" guy who ever turned out. Of course every year is different, and there are exceptions, but not enough for the Vikings to justify taking one high when they have big OL needs and an $84M QB who might actually prove his worth with a few of those OLs. 

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#19 · Dec 3, 12:21 PM
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@"StickyBun" said: Here's a darkhorse for a 4th-5th round QB pick that has some low level buzz with scouts, but not nationally: 

Jacob Dolegala, QB, Central Connecticut  

Height: 6-6. Weight: 235.  
Projected 40 Time: 4.80. 



Well since we're going on record, I like Will Grier.

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#20 · Dec 3, 12:23 PM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"JimmyinSD" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Jor-El" said: Ha! Strategically, you are probably right. But never going to happen because Spielman convinced the Wilfs to invest $84M in Cousins. Why would he do anything to suggest that it wasn't a fantastic decision that will result in a Lombardi Trophy or two and no more worries about that pesky QB position?


That's why it should be a 4th rounder. A player who will never be confused as competition for Cousins, but someone who can compete with Sloter as our #2. 


I dont think we need to go a first rounder,  but if we are taking a player.... lets take a player,  sure some QBs can be found in the later rounds,  but if we are talking about a guy that could be ready to take over for KC in 2 years if his contract demands are rediculous.. well then lets take a QB,  spending a mid round draft pick with the goal of not being good enought to challenge for the starting job seems wrong to me.  if the right guy is there in the 2nd or 3rd.. well nab him up and make capn kirk beat him.  of course I think we have more pressing needs than a back up QB,  I think Sloter should be the #2 already based on what we have seen,  but if he isnt... then they better be ready to get a guy that will be that and more with time.


In my opinion, there are two kinds of QBs in the draft. Those who are top 10 picks (potential franchise QBs), and everyone else. So little difference between QBs taken outside of the top 10 and those you can get late, or even after the draft. 


I think you need to add a few more categories.

IMO there are those that come in pretty much ready to play,  they could benefit from a little seasoning on the bench but they can play right away.
there are those that have to have some prep work but will eventually put it together and have nice careers...maybe even great careers... hell look at brady.
there are those that even with seasoning their ceiling is journeyman clip board holder, game manager at best
and those that are brought in simply to take some snaps/reps in camp.  never a real shot at developing or making a practice squad let alone a roster.

oh yeah.... and theres the Joe Webb experiments.. not sure where to rank those guys.



I think there are other categories for other positions, but not so much QBs. You have the franchise guys, taken at the top because they're recognized as such (even though only about half turn out). And everyone else. And there's such little difference between guys taken late in round 1 and guys taken on day three. I think if you look at draft history (http://www.drafthistory.com/index.php/positions/qb) the hit rate on QBs outside of the top 10 is pretty low. And it doesn't improve a lot as you get higher in the draft.

If you look at every starting QB in the NFL, they were either taken high as a franchise guy, or someone got lucky. Brady (6th), Cousins (4th), Keenun (UDFA), Prescott (4th), Russel (3rd). Of the top of my head, I can think of no day-two "developmental" guy who ever turned out. Of course every year is different, and there are exceptions, but not enough for the Vikings to justify taking one high when they have big OL needs and an $84M QB who might actually prove his worth with a few of those OLs. 



I think its all about getting lucky,  even in the first round.  there is no magic formula as to who is going to succeed and whos going to bust,  especially at the QB position IMO.

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#21 · Dec 3, 12:30 PM
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