Forum The Longship Keenum stats YTD vs. Bridgewater 2015

Keenum stats YTD vs. Bridgewater 2015

Montana Tom
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I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.

Please God, just one Lombardi before I die.

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#1 · Oct 29, 12:07 PM
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Did you mean 230 ypg?

http://www.nfl.com/stats/categorystats?tabSeq=1&statisticPositionCategory=QUARTERBACK&qualified=true&season=2017&seasonType=REG

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#2 · Oct 29, 12:16 PM
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Case has done alright, not great mind you, but capable...So glad he's here and has gotten us to 6/2 along with some stellar D.  I would be hesitant to bench him right now for Teddy just cause Bridgewater hasn't played in so long. I would put Sam back in if he's 100%. Not sure we'll ever see Sam again as a starter though. Just a gut feel. 

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#3 · Oct 29, 12:50 PM
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Two reasons I wouldn't let pass yards per game 2015 to 2017 prevent me from putting in Teddy if he looks as good as Case in practice.  The first is that 2015 we were very much a run-first offense.  The second is that Teddy's youth gives you hope that there's still some untapped growth potential so while they may be equal in November, Teddy has the chance to be better in January.

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#4 · Oct 29, 2:17 PM
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Insert eating popcorn emoji here...

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#5 · Oct 29, 2:26 PM
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@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd. What's more, the offensive line has been completely rebuilt. For example, Joe Berger, the weak spot on our line this year, was its strength in 2015. Further, Diggs was a rookie and wasn't even active early on. Our best receivers were Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson that year. 

The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense meant to slowly develop a young QB. This is no such offense. Teddy had several games when he didn't throw more than 20 passes. Case threw the ball 43 times today. 

I love that we have Keenum as our QB2 and he's played well. But he's not a long-term starter, and we'll likely find that out the hard way in the next several weeks if we're not careful. 

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#6 · Oct 29, 2:57 PM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd. What's more, the offensive line has been completely rebuilt. For example, Joe Berger, the weak spot on our line this year, was its strength in 2015. Further, Diggs was a rookie and wasn't even active early on. Our best receivers were Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson that year. 

The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense meant to slowly develop a young QB. This is no such offense. Teddy had several games when he didn't throw more than 20 passes. Case threw the ball 43 times today. 

I love that we have Keenum as our QB2 and he's played well. But he's not a long-term starter, and we'll likely find that out the hard way in the next several weeks if we're not careful. 



Big Amen to that MB...

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#7 · Oct 29, 3:09 PM
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Any comparison favoring Keenum will lead to the "insert 25 excuses for Teddy" bit that is de rigueur for Teddy vs. anyone threads at this point.

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#8 · Oct 29, 3:21 PM
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Teddy has never had the protection this offensive line has provided Bradford and Keenum. Let's start there. We can certainly debate whether you really can pull Keenum before he messes up. He looked weak in the first half. Teddy will be ready to go, but I don't see any way that the Vikings pull Keenum for the Washington game directly after the bye week. If he stinks it up in D.C., then you've got the justification. 

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#9 · Oct 29, 3:51 PM
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@"StickyBun" said: Teddy has never had the protection this offensive line has provided Bradford and Keenum. Let's start there. We can certainly debate whether you really can pull Keenum before he messes up. He looked weak in the first half. Teddy will be ready to go, but I don't see any way that the Vikings pull Keenum for the Washington game directly after the bye week. If he stinks it up in D.C., then you've got the justification. 
That's just it...I don't think there are many Viking fans who thinks Keenum can take this team as far as Sam or even Bridgewater. But what do the other QB's have to show to sit him? imo he'll have to stink the joint-up before putting Theodore in. Sam should win the starter back if he's healthy, which I have my doubts on.  

Maybe situations will force Zimmer's hand? Otherwise, I hope he has clear criteria for making a move. 

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#10 · Oct 29, 4:17 PM
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Don't forget we were missing starters on the offensive line. And the replacements didn't have a good first half today.
I'm happy Teddy is back. But I'm not ready to just say Teddy is going to lead us to the promise land. He needs to prove he can play.
If we start him against Washington and he loses, all there will be is excuses...
If he wins it will be something to build on.
My thoughts are let Keenum start and try and get Teddy some playing time.

As long as we are winning I don't think we will see Sam.

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#11 · Oct 29, 5:13 PM
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whatever the decision is regarding the starting QB, i just hope it does not divide and or piss off the locker room

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#12 · Oct 29, 5:33 PM
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2015 vs 2017 is not even close to aan equal comparison.  Sorry Tom,  not an argument worth making.

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#13 · Oct 29, 5:55 PM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd.



That might be, but Case just played in his 33rd game today.  Teddy has already played in 29, so their actual NFL playing experience is a lot closer than you might think.

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#14 · Oct 29, 6:30 PM
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@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd. What's more, the offensive line has been completely rebuilt. For example, Joe Berger, the weak spot on our line this year, was its strength in 2015. Further, Diggs was a rookie and wasn't even active early on. Our best receivers were Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson that year. 

The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense meant to slowly develop a young QB. This is no such offense. Teddy had several games when he didn't throw more than 20 passes. Case threw the ball 43 times today. 

I love that we have Keenum as our QB2 and he's played well. But he's not a long-term starter, and we'll likely find that out the hard way in the next several weeks if we're not careful. 



The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense 

The 2015 team ran the ball. 29.5 times per game.
2017 / 29.3 times per game
Never mind, you are correct they ran the ball a lot more in 2015.

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#15 · Oct 29, 6:42 PM
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I think the NFL and the associated NFL media is filled with "second guessers" and "hindsighters."  The moment Keenum is replaced and the team loses (or struggles), they will want to know why the change and if there is a controversy--or worse, a schism. They would love to talk about this. 

Because coaching staffs don't like drama, I think Keenum will have to be injured before he's replaced with either Bradford or Bridgewater.  I would have more faith in Bradford replacing Keenum at this point, but only if his knee is truly healed and the Chicago game is not duplicated. 

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#16 · Oct 29, 6:44 PM
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@"comet52" said: Any comparison favoring Keenum will lead to the "insert 25 excuses for Teddy" bit that is de rigueur for Teddy vs. anyone threads at this point.
It's still less than the 50 excuses Sam got for never having a winning season or winning a meaningful game in the NFL.  Does it make any of the excuses less or more valid? no but fine line behind reasoning and excuse making....
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#17 · Oct 29, 9:48 PM
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@"holmanjp" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd. What's more, the offensive line has been completely rebuilt. For example, Joe Berger, the weak spot on our line this year, was its strength in 2015. Further, Diggs was a rookie and wasn't even active early on. Our best receivers were Mike Wallace and Charles Johnson that year. 

The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense meant to slowly develop a young QB. This is no such offense. Teddy had several games when he didn't throw more than 20 passes. Case threw the ball 43 times today. 

I love that we have Keenum as our QB2 and he's played well. But he's not a long-term starter, and we'll likely find that out the hard way in the next several weeks if we're not careful. 



The scheme is completely different, too. 2015's was a running offense 

The 2015 team ran the ball. 29.5 times per game.
2017 / 29.3 times per game
Never mind, you are correct they ran the ball a lot more in 2015.


since you are logged into a stat site what % of plays run were run in 2015 vs 2017.  I'll venture to guess we are running significantly more plays and hence a lot more pass plays.

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#18 · Oct 29, 9:50 PM
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@"SFVikingFan" said:
@"MaroonBells" said:
@"Montana Tom" said: I thought I’d do a YPG comparison.  Keenum through 6.5 games (I counted the Bears game as 1/2).  203 YPG avg.  Int’s .3 / game. Teddy was 201 YPG, .56 Int’s/game. I’m sure anyone can do the rest of the stat comparison, but I’d offer that Keenum has acquitted himself well as a backup vs. Teddy...and to throw some controversy into it...perhaps better than a backup.
That's not a fair comparison. Keenum is in his 6th season. Teddy was in his 2nd.



That might be, but Case just played in his 33rd game today.  Teddy has already played in 29, so their actual NFL playing experience is a lot closer than you might think.

It's also true that DeShone Kizer has more actual NFL playing experience than Aaron Rodgers did when he began his 4th season.

I would say it's not about game experience as much as it is about time with coaches, in NFL QB rooms, learning offenses, training camps and practices. 

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#19 · Oct 29, 10:01 PM
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Guys, this was without question, posed as an apples and oranges question.  There's no real way to equate the two, because so much is different, other than a couple of raw stats (what's that saying?  "There's lies, goddam lies and statistics.")  The point I was trying to make is that I don't remember Teddy having too many 300 yard games, and Case has admittedly been a better backup, excuse me, starting QB for us than I imagined.  Teddy has had bad halves, bad games.  Same with Sam.  

Here is what I think will happen...Sam will never play another down for the Vikings and his career, due to his knees, is done.  He's made over $100 mm playing in the NFL, and he will be an excellent young broadcaster.  Case will continue to start the rest of this year...only as long as he keeps a hot hand, and the team keeps winning.  If he gets hurt, Teddy is in, and then we ride Teddy the rest of the way, good or bad.

Case is not signed for next year, I don't believe.  I suspect we will go into TC with Teddy and Sloter as our #1 and #2 QB.  

For someone who almost never makes prognostications (because there is a 99.9% chance they will be wrong), there's your annual, singular prediction from me.

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#20 · Oct 30, 6:05 AM
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@"NodakViking" said:
@"comet52" said: Any comparison favoring Keenum will lead to the "insert 25 excuses for Teddy" bit that is de rigueur for Teddy vs. anyone threads at this point.
It's still less than the 50 excuses Sam got for never having a winning season or winning a meaningful game in the NFL.  Does it make any of the excuses less or more valid? no but fine line behind reasoning and excuse making....
Excuses? Or facts based on objective analysis? Is it an excuse to say that Sam had no stability or a worthy supporting cast in his early years? No, it's a fact. A fact that one smart GM used to help him make a deal for him. But, alas, his injury history was also part of that soup. I think we saw the results of that. With a good supporting cast, Sam proved his was better than anyone thought. But still vulnerable to injury. 

It's true that Teddy didn't throw for a lot of yards in 2015. But is it an excuse to say that Teddy didn't have the same offense or supporting cast in 2015? No, it's a fact that you have to consider when you make a decision. 

Personally, I think it's ridiculous we're even having this conversation. A fully healthy Teddy Bridgewater or Case freaking Keenum? Are you out of your mind? Now, that's an opinion. :-)

And all this comes with the caveat that Teddy may look ready in practice, but he suffered a career threatening knee injury that could impact him mentally. Will he see ghosts after a sack or two? We all saw what happened to Culpepper. Just wasn't the same QB after the injury. We'd all hate to see that, but it's certainly possible. Is that a ready-made excuse? Call it what you want, but it's also a distinct possibility.

Either way, we have to know the truth about Teddy THIS season. 

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#21 · Oct 30, 6:35 AM
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