Quote: @MaroonBells said:
Hey, I wonder if this thread will divide among party lines?
It probably will. The good thing is when he's a Supreme Court Justice and rape and Rowe V. Wade comes up he'll have a unique life experiences to contribute.
But on a serious note: Go to realclearpolitics and look at the polls. The republicans are going to keep the senate and the house in November. It doesn't really much matter if they force Kavanaugh through or discard him and get another.
In the Senate the republicans need to win 3 elections on top of all their safe seats.
Ted Cruz is up between 1 and 9 depending on which poll you use. RCP average of +4.5
Hawley will pull MO over McCaskill but if he doesn't theres several other very close ones.
In TN they have us listed as a toss up. I liver here. I can tell you without a doubt that Blackburn will win the seat. We all hate her but we hate her less then Bredesen. 2X the amount of republicans voted vs democrats here in the primary. We were somewhere in the +25% for Trump range. TN will stay red. To put it in football perspective. The bills have as much chance to win the SB as the Dems do in taking the seat.
In the house. If you take all the "likely & leans" seats and add them up for the D's and the R's there are 40 available seats. Team red has to go 1/40 to maintain the majority house.