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One take on a Pats/Vikes Trade
#1
Will the Vikings trade up to No. 3 with New England? Three thoughts from a Patriots insider

There is no chance the Bears trade away the chance to draft Caleb Williams No. 1 overall. There is little chance the Commanders move off the No. 2 pick. But there have been consistent rumblings that the Patriots might consider a deal for the No. 3 pick.

To get a better handle on that possibility, I talked to Tom Curran — a Patriots insider for NBC Sports Boston — on Wednesday's Daily Delivery podcast.

*Why would New England even consider making the deal

The Patriots need a quarterback. They have a draft pick that ensures they can get a quarterback. So why is a trade even a possibility?

Curran gave two good reasons. First, New England has a lot of needs. The Patriots finished 4-13 last season and if they are being honest they are in the early stages of a rebuild. Getting multiple first-round picks (just how many is a subject for the next item) might be more valuable than choosing a QB now.

Second, which feeds off the first reason: The Patriots saw what happened to QB Mac Jones when they lacked the support around him. A productive rookie for a playoff team in 2021 turned into a lost cause by 2023, in part because the rest of the roster was in decline.

"They brought it on themselves," Curran said. "That's part of the reason Bill Belichick is visiting colleges right now."

What would it cost the Vikings to move up to No. 3

Curran suggested that informal conversations with the Patriots lead him to believe it would cost the Vikings the No. 11 and 23 picks this season, next year's first round pick AND another pick, perhaps even another future first rounder, to move up to No. 3.

"I don't know if that's their official stance within the (draft) war room, but I think that's probably what they're doing now," Curran said.

In essence, it will take "a Godfather" type of offer, Curran said.

Which quarterback do the Patriots actually want
An interesting wrinkle to all this is that my assumption (and most mock drafts) have the Patriots choosing Drake Maye No. 3 if they keep the pick. It is also assumed that the Vikings would take Maye if they move up to No. 3. But Curran made it sound like it might not be such a slam dunk on the New England side.

"To me, I feel like it's a coin flip between Maye and J.J. McCarthy," he said.

If Maye is the QB the Vikings want the most, and it turns out he's still available at No. 4 (Arizona) or No. 5 (Chargers) because the Patriots take McCarthy, it could make a trade for the Vikings a little easier.

https://www.startribune.com/will-the-vik...600359561/

BTW, the compensation quoted pretty much mirrors what Guru posted earlier today in another thread....
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#2
If KAM trades our 2025 first round pick along with our two first rounders this year to move up just 8 spots he will definitely put the entire management under the gun. I don't think he'll do it.
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#3
(04-17-2024, 08:48 PM)FLVike Wrote: If KAM trades our 2025 first round pick along with our two first rounders this year to move up just 8 spots he will definitely put the entire management under the gun. I don't think he'll do it.

Counter-point, if he doesn't and Darnold flops is it a sure thing he's making the pick?
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#4
(04-17-2024, 09:21 PM)NFL Draft Guru Wrote: Counter-point, if he doesn't and Darnold flops is it a sure thing he's making the pick?

This made me laugh. Touché
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#5
(04-17-2024, 09:21 PM)NFL Draft Guru Wrote: Counter-point, if he doesn't and Darnold flops is it a sure thing he's making the pick?

If he does and Darnold flops then he just gave the Patriots a very high first round pick and then if the new QB flops it's sayonara
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#6
(04-17-2024, 08:48 PM)FLVike Wrote: If KAM trades our 2025 first round pick along with our two first rounders this year to move up just 8 spots he will definitely put the entire management under the gun. I don't think he'll do it.

Everything we've done the past two years was moving towards turning this team over to a rookie QB.  Purging our older/expensive veterans, structuring short-term deals to have a ton of cap space in 2025, not extending Kirk with a guaranteed deal, etc.  If Kwesi gets cold feet now or settles, he doesn't deserve the job.
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#7
The Patriots need a QB just as desperately as Minnesota. They aren't trading out of this spot.
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#8
(04-18-2024, 04:45 AM)StickierBuns Wrote: The Patriots need a QB just as desperately as Minnesota. They aren't trading out of this spot.

Two totally different situations though. I think the Pats staying and taking a QB is the most likely. But not by much. And I think a lot of it depends on which one is available. 

I keep coming back to Mayo talking about their willingness to trade down and urging patience and all the holes they have to fill and building the roster "the right way." 

That team is a disaster. They desperately need a left tackle. They desperately need a receiver. They take a QB at three, it'll be Mac Jones all over again and everyone will get fired. If you take the deal, you can still take a QB at 11 or 23 or 34, or build up your roster and take one next year with two more 1st rounders. That's the right way IMO.
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#9
(04-18-2024, 07:58 AM)MaroonBells Wrote: Two totally different situations though. I think the Pats staying and taking a QB is the most likely. But not by much. And I think a lot of it depends on which one is available. 

I keep coming back to Mayo talking about their willingness to trade down and urging patience and all the holes they have to fill and building the roster "the right way." 

That team is a disaster. They desperately need a left tackle. They desperately need a receiver. They take a QB at three, it'll be Mac Jones all over again and everyone will get fired. If you take the deal, you can still take a QB at 11 or 23 or 34, or build up your roster and take one next year with two more 1st rounders. That's the right way IMO.

In theory MB, I don't disagree at all. But when is the last time a NFL team desperately needing a QB yet passed on one to move down?? Never? Somebody is going to have to get really stupid to move NE off that pick, and I mean really stupid. And I don't see that happening.
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#10
(04-18-2024, 08:03 AM)StickierBuns Wrote: In theory MB, I don't disagree at all. But when is the last time a NFL team desperately needing a QB yet passed on one to move down?? Never? Somebody is going to have to get really stupid to move NE off that pick, and I mean really stupid. And I don't see that happening.

It's not passing on a QB. It's passing on QB3 to take QB4, 5 or 6 and a mega haul to go with it.
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