8 Teams Remain

[Still Hurtn]

7 of the 8 teams playing has a QB picked in the first round..................................................... then Brock Purdy

That is all

[Guest]

You go with the odds. But at the same time, 60% of first round QBs selected since 1999 haven't been that team's long-term answer. So the odds are against you. Aren't statistics fun?  :p

Bottom line: its really hard to select a QB early that will pan out....but when you do hit it right on a QB, they mostly come out of round 1. 

[Guest]

Statically speaking how many of those first rounders would have panned out if put in the correct situation? Usually they go to chitty teams that are looking for a savior. They get feed to the wolves and fail early on. Or they have no oline or runnning game or weapons. NFL is brutal business for young QB's. I think this is why guys who can run or scramble stand a better chance until they develop the rest of there game. 

[Guest]

@Still Hurtn said:
7 of the 8 teams playing has a QB picked in the first round..................................................... then Brock Purdy

That is all

I think it's different every year. No doubt, you increase your odds of hitting in the 1st round. But it's not like it's an absolute must. For example, last year only 1 of the 7 NFC playoff teams had a QB taken in the 1st round. 

[Guest]

Last years final 8 was
Five 1st rounders
One 2nd rounder (Heisman winner)
One 3rd Rounder (did not advance)
.............................................................Brock Purdy 

[Guest]

2021

Six First Rounders
One First Pick Second Round HOF
One 7th Rounder Goat

[Guest]

@Still Hurtn said:
7 of the 8 teams playing has a QB picked in the first round..................................................... then Brock Purdy (Mr. Irrelevant 2022)

That is all

... minor addition to your post.

[Guest]

@StickyBun said:
You go with the odds. But at the same time, 60% of first round QBs selected since 1999 haven't been that team's long-term answer. So the odds are against you. Aren't statistics fun?  :p

Bottom line: its really hard to select a QB early that will pan out....but when you do hit it right on a QB, they mostly come out of round 1. 

It's a gamble even in the first round but the odds of a first rounder making it are far greater than subsequent rounds. 
You can't hit it right if you don't try. If you are going to take one, why not maximize your odds by taking a first rounder?

The Vikings historically  haven't been successful when they have taken a QB early, and also have been unwilling to spend what it takes to move up high enough in the draft. 

Hopefully this front office is willing to go get the one they want and not settle for someone they don't.
Sounds like they were looking to do that last year but weren't willing to give up what some other team offered.

[Guest]

@jargomcfargo said:

@StickyBun said:
You go with the odds. But at the same time, 60% of first round QBs selected since 1999 haven't been that team's long-term answer. So the odds are against you. Aren't statistics fun?  :p

Bottom line: its really hard to select a QB early that will pan out....but when you do hit it right on a QB, they mostly come out of round 1. 

It's a gamble even in the first round but the odds of a first rounder making it are far greater than subsequent rounds. 
You can't hit it right if you don't try. If you are going to take one, why not maximize your odds by taking a first rounder?

The Vikings historically  haven't been successful when they have taken a QB early, and also have been unwilling to spend what it takes to move up high enough in the draft. 

Hopefully this front office is willing to go get the one they want and not settle for someone they don't.
Sounds like they were looking to do that last year but weren't willing to give up what some other team offered.

Yep, agreed. Not saying to not take a swing and draft a QB in round 1....its my preference. I'm just saying its no sure thing. Its just part of drafting a QB high: risk and reward. 

[Guest]

After 50 years of coming up short I would be ok the Viking pushing some chips to the center of the table to move up for a QB that they had conviction over. Also letting that QB sit for 1 year. Waiting till 11 and holding your nose to pick who is left over seems dumb.. imo