Login

MaroonBells · 09-01-2020, 04:09 PM

Anyone who speaks Vegas care to translate this? Other than the over/under, I honestly couldn't tell you what any of this means, or whether the Vikings are favored or underdogs.

An NFC North tussle that will feature Aaron Rodgers against Kirk Cousins as the Minnesota Vikings play host to the Green Bay Packers. Expect a tight, hard-hitting affair. Line: Minnesota -3.5; o/u 46.5. Moneyline: Green Bay +150; Minnesota -182.

09-01-2020, 04:29 PM

It opened -3.5 but has moved most places to -2.5 When your team's line is a minus value you are favored, when it's a plus you are the underdog. The points are subtracted from your final total when you are the favorite and added when you are the dog. So if the Vikings are -3.5 and they win 20-17, the Packers lose but cover the spread, i.e. your bet on Minnesota -3.5 loses and a bet on Green Bay +3.5 wins.

A typical home field advantage is worth 3 points in the NFL, so a line of -3 for a home team basically says the two teams are equal if they played on a neutral field. The Vikings normally have a larger home field edge due to the loudness of the crowd, one of 3-4 places in the league where this is the case. So in a normal year the line might open -3.5 or even -4 where the teams are relatively equal. However with Covid the crowd is not a factor and the home field advantage might drop to 2 or even lower. So right now I'd say the line is moving lower because bettors are factoring that in.

The line moves around due to money being bet on either side over time. What this line is basically saying is that the bettors see the teams as basically equal. As the season goes on and we have real information about teams based on play the lines will adjust due to those factors.

09-02-2020, 05:39 PM

I’m in the same boat as MB, so I really appreciate this. I don’t bet just because it introduces an element of anxiety I don’t need when watching a game, but I like knowing who is favored and by how much. So thanks Comet. A question what is the money line? Green Bay +150 Minnesota -182.

09-02-2020, 08:19 PM

Money Line is the greater likelihood one has to win the game. When you have a - then you are favored to win. If you put $182 on the Vikings to win the game then you would net $100. If you bet $100 on the Packers to win the game then you would net $150.

09-02-2020, 08:52 PM

So why is this better than sex?

09-03-2020, 01:29 PM

Cuz, if you win, you can use the money for sex.
money+sex > sex

09-03-2020, 01:49 PM

I would be very hard pressed to put $$ on any game the first week or 2, or 5 for that matter...

09-03-2020, 02:07 PM

Last year i would put money on the Over for amount of penalties the Packers opposing team would have. It worked quite often

09-03-2020, 08:42 PM

What is going to be interesting to me is the officiating. Without fans for NBA games, you can hear a lot of things that are going on around the game. There is less players whining for calls and no fan support for it. I am wondering how that will impact football. The officiating is better in hockey too.

09-08-2020, 04:47 PM

Quote: @purplefaithful said:
I would be very hard pressed to put $$ on any game the first week or 2, or 5 for that matter...

That makes perfect sense with not much of an off season and no preseason to go by.
Never the less, I just left the sports book and have placed my bet.
Hoping for a fun and prosperous season. Pretty much broke even last year. I ended up a little ahead.
I just bet enough to make it interesting, never enough to hurt.