Possible Cap Casualties

[ArizonaViking]

Four cuts the Vikings can make to save $44 million against the 2026 salary cap
Story by Joe Nelson • 36m •
3 min read


At an estimated $46 million over the 2026 NFL salary cap, the Minnesota Vikings have major roster decisions to make before free agency opens in March.

While much has been discussed about center Ryan Kelly and defensive tackle Javon Hargrave being potential cut candidates, two offensive stars could also be on the way out: tight end T.J. Hockenson and running back Aaron Jones.

Kelly carries a $12.1 million cap hit next season. By cutting him, Minnesota would save roughly $8.7 million while absorbing about $3.3 million in dead money, according to Over The Cap.

Hargrave's 2026 cap hit is a whopping $21.5 million. After failing to meet lofty expectations this season, cutting him is a realistic money-saving option for the Vikings. While they would eat $10.5 million in dead money, they would free up $11 million in cap space by releasing him.

Hockenson simply hasn't been the same player since suffering a torn ACL on Christmas Eve 2023 when Detroit Lions safety Kerby Joseph dove at his knees. In 15 games before the injury, Hockenson shredded defenses with 95 receptions for 960 yards and five touchdowns. In 25 regular-season games since then, Hockenson has 92 catches for 893 yards and five touchdowns.

The Vikings signed Hockenson in August 2023 to a four-year, $66 million extension. His contract calls for a $21.3 million cap hit in 2026 and a $23.3 million cap hit in 2027. Minnesota can wait until June 1 to cut him, and by doing so, they would free up $16 million in 2026 and $18 million in 2027, while absorbing $5,3 million in dead money each of the next two seasons, followed by a $1.7 million hit in 2028.

On Monday, former Vikings linebacker Ben Leber was asked to provide a percentage chance of certain players returning next season, and he gave Hockenson no chance to return.

"Zero percent," Leber said. "I think that's part of the reason why he didn't play yesterday. I think that's part of the reason Aaron Jones didn't play yesterday. I mean, they don't want to be on the hook injury-wise because these are most likely two guys they're going to jettison for contract reasons."

By cutting Kelly, Hargrave, and Hockenson, Minnesota would free up roughly $36 million.

They can get that number to $44 million by cutting Jones, who has a $14.8 million cap hit in 2026. Releasing him would save $8 million and force the Vikings to absorb another $6.8 million in dead money.

If you're keeping track, Minnesota would go from being $46 million over the cap to only about $2 million over by making those four moves.

According to Alec Lewis of The Athletic, the Vikings are "not sweating the cap situation," largely because they also have opportunities to restructure expensive contracts. Lewis mentioned right tackle Brian O'Neill and linebacker Blake Cashman as players who could sign extensions and free up even more cap space.

Per Over The Cap, signing O'Neill to an extension would create $14 million cap space, while doing the same with Cashman would generate an additional $4.5 million in 2026.

Lewis also noted that Minnesota can convert 2026 base salaries into signing bonuses, specifically mentioning wide receiver Justin Jefferson, linebackers Jonathan Greenard and Andrew Van Ginkel, cornerback Byron Murphy Jr., tight end Josh Oliver, and offensive linemen Christian Darrisaw and Will Fries.

Here are the base salaries for those players in 2026:

Jefferson: $24.99m
Greenard: $18.39m
Van Ginkel: $15.39m
Murphy: $15.36m
Oliver: $6.69m
Darrisaw: $13.29m
Fries: $12.61m
The Vikings could convert part or all of those base salaries into signing bonuses, essentially kicking the can down the road and dealing with larger cap hits in future years.

In the end, the Vikings aren't going to be among the league leaders in cap space, but they have options to at least become somewhat competitive when free agency begins in a couple of months.

[purplefaithful]

I could see Jones back on a revised contract...But the Vikings will most certainly draft a RB this draft to get younger and better

There's been talk of Hargrave being back...But between him and Allen, Allen is the much tougher one to cut cap wise.

Your guess is as good as mine regarding TJH. He may be gone, but I would not be shocked if he is back on a re-worked contract. Unless he just wants out now.

[Waterboy]

I could see Jones back on a revised contract...But the Vikings will most certainly draft a RB this draft to get younger and better

There's been talk of Hargrave being back...But between him and Allen, Allen is the much tougher one to cut cap wise.

Your guess is as good as mine regarding TJH. He may be gone, but I would not be shocked if he is back on a re-worked contract. Unless he just wants out now.

I have ties to TJ and family that makes me really hope he's back, but I'm leaning that he probably won't be back right now.  His contract will have to be severely reworked for him to be an alternative.  With our load of picks this upcoming year and Oliver showing he can catch some balls, I'm guessing we go the draft route.

[pattersaur]

All four of those suggested cuts seem like the right moves.

As someone mentioned, Aaron Jones I could maybe see back on a revised deal since frankly of the four guys mentioned he's the only one who's had any notable production lately. The FA RB crop is thin so it's possible. The team needs to draft an RB regardless. Ham's expected departure should make carrying three RBs doable.

[supafreak84]

If Hock is cut as speculated, I'm guessing that also means with the cap that we won't be active in free agency adding a real starting caliber TE. There are some interesting one's that will be available (Ndjoku, Goedert, Pitts), but if all we are able to sign is a mid tier guy, that moves TE to the top of the draft needs list IMO. Kenyon Sadiq...come on down!

[purplefaithful]

If Hock is cut as speculated, I'm guessing that also means with the cap that we won't be active in free agency adding a real starting caliber TE. There are some interesting one's that will be available (Ndjoku, Goedert, Pitts), but if all we are able to sign is a mid tier guy, that moves TE to the top of the draft needs list IMO. Kenyon Sadiq...come on down!

I think we need defense most, but If Sadiq can have similar impact as LaPorta or Tyler Warren?

Giddy-up...

[medaille]

It’ll be interesting to see how it all plays out. Like, we’ve invested so heavily in the offense. The offense still kind of sucks. We’ve neglected our secondary for years, and it always seems kind of fine under Flores. Should we be upgrading the least important offensive positions or go get a CB/S with our top picks.

[supafreak84]

I think we need defense most, but If Sadiq can have similar impact as LaPorta or Tyler Warren?

Giddy-up...

So many different directions we can go and needs to address. We need to get younger. It's why I say, trading Jonathan Greenard makes a ton of sense at this point if we can get our asking price, which with his age, production and contract we should, then it would be smart to make that move. If Flores lands a head coaching gig or takes the Dallas DC job, that would be the first team I'd call as both those teams biggest needs are pass rush.

[medaille]

One extra thought I have is that while Flores has worked magic with lesser talent levels, what happens if we lose him? I kind of imagine the defense would need a talent infusion to survive Flores leaving.