Agree with most of what you wrote, Guru. Very well thought out as usual. I was going to put together a 53-man roster the other day, but didn't have the time. I'll add a few notes where I agreed with your analysis and where I would have differed:
- C.J. Ham... all we've heard is that Shurmur doesn't use a FB in his offense. We let Zach Line walk so I'm wondering why Ham would make the team? I think his spot is directly tied to Zimmer's influence on the offense. He may want a FB for some of those power running formations, but I question how often we'd use those and couldn't Morgan work as a FB in these sets? I wouldn't have Ham in my final 53 prediction.
- TEs... I would only keep 3. Rudolph, Morgan, and Hodges (for his potential). I don't see a need for 4 TEs, especially when we could easily slip Kyle Carter onto the PS.
- Jarius Wright... he's obviously fallen out of favor with the coaching staff so why keep him and his higher salary around for another season? If we can't trade him for a late round draft pick, I think the team would be better off cutting him. Our top 3 are set and when Floyd gets back from his suspension there will be even less snaps for him. In addition, he doesn't play special teams... I think it would be smarter to keep a younger WR to develop since Wright doesn't have a future with this team.
- OL... Totally agree with your top 8. I think that final spot will come down to Sirles and Beavers. I'd say Clemmings is in that mix, but after getting moved to OG this offseason, I don't think he makes it given how thin we are with depth at OT.
- You nailed the DL slots in my opinion. For as much as fans want to get rid of Tom Johnson, I think he is a lock to make the team. His value as a pass rushing DT and veteran presence is worth it. You know what you're going to get out of the guy and you can't say the same for Datone Jones or Will Sutton. Shamar Stephen has been a popular whipping boy this offseason too, but I think he was playing out of position at 3T. He's much better suited as a NT and is great insurance behind Linval Joseph.
- I'm happy to see you put Eric Wilson on your final 53 projection. He's been flying around the field and was a great UDFA signing in my opinion. He has the talent/potential to develop into a starter, but his best attribute right now is the fact that he was a special teams demon in college. Sounds like the perfect guy to be the Vikings 5th or 6th LB this season.