SI.com: To pay or not pay QB Brock Purdy

[StickierBuns]

https://www.si.com/nfl/paying-san-franci...very-risky

I get the question and I get the debate, but......what choice does San Francisco have? Trade away or not resign a 25 year old QB you drafted that took you to the Superbowl? Almost everything is risky in the NFL, but is it accurate to say 'very' risky? He's a known quantity....he's young. Personally, I'm not a huge Brock Purdy guy, but I think the 49ers like him a lot. Do they love him? Not sure about that....maybe. But regardless, I just don't think they have much choice here and I fully understand the deficiencies.

[MAD GAINZ]

It's a tough situation. I tend to agree that he's the type of QB that needs guys around him to be great. He's not Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson that can elevate a team above the teams talent level.

Of all the QBs that have been paid recently, I think he's below Justin Herbert but similar to Dakota Prescott. He's performed better than Trevor Lawrence, Tua, and Jordan Love.

49ers window closed with a young QB on rookie contract. Now they are shedding salary and going the youth route to accommodate paying a QB.

Vikings will need to do this in a couple years with JJ McCarthy. It's why KAM needs to get better at drafting so we have young cheap talent to absorb a QB contract when that time comes. We won't always have 40-60 million in cap space to throw at FAs.

[pattersaur]

Letting him walk would be unprecedented in the modern NFL, so it's hard to predict them to go that route. Like mad gainz said, they're culling salary to prepare for it.

[Canthony]

Kind of reminds me of the Kirk conversation when he was in Washington. Despite him not taking them to the SB. You really have to pay him, unless they plan to use the Tag on him, which they may at this point. Last year was a disaster for the Niners. Every possible thing went wrong with the whole team, not Purdy. I don't think they would be cutting and shedding salary unless they planned to sign him. I see it as a non-issue, and it will get done. Their number one mistake, trading up for Trey Lance. It set them back.

[AGRforever]

Kind of reminds me of the Kirk conversation when he was in Washington. Despite him not taking them to the SB. You really have to pay him, unless they plan to use the Tag on him, which they may at this point. Last year was a disaster for the Niners. Every possible thing went wrong with the whole team, not Purdy. I don't think they would be cutting and shedding salary unless they planned to sign him. I see it as a non-issue, and it will get done. Their number one mistake, trading up for Trey Lance. It set them back.

We didn't give up near the draft capital as they did for Lance.  But lets hope Dallas Turner becomes what we think he can.  Otherwise, we'll look back on that trade and how it harmed the Vikings for a couple years.

[MaroonBells]

I agree that the 49ers don't really have a choice. I'm a broken record on this, but I really do believe that when it comes to contracts, there are only two tiers of QBs in the NFL: those you can win with and those you can't. If you have the first, you pay him. Otherwise you start over and that can take years, decades even. Last time the 49ers started over at QB they mortgaged their future for Trey Lance. They will pay Purdy.

[medaille]

I think there’s 3 tiers of QBs:
1. Those that carry their team
2. Those that you can win with, but the team carries them
3. Those that you can’t win with.

Tier 1, you commit to long term, lock them up, add void years and deferred payments, etc.
Tier 2, you need to be looking for a Tier 1 guy. You don’t commit to them for long term. I think you have to be willing to overpay them in the short term, but not box yourself into the corner long term by committing too many years or too much dead cap hit to be able to move on from them.
Tier 3, these guys should be cheap. Maybe they should be your backups. I’d prefer to have your backup spots covered by guys that have the potential to grow into Tier 1 guys, not journeymen, not limited skillset guys.

Purdy should probably get something like 2 real years commitment, guaranteed $90-100M. Big per year paycheck to make him happyish. Not a long term commitment.

The 49ers 100% needed to blow things up. You either do minor blowups semi-frequently, or wait until it gets catastrophic. Sounds like their locker room needed a bunch of fresh air. This was the perfect time to do it, regardless of the Purdy situation. Not sure how their comp pick situation looks, but if they can do all their departures in one year, have an off year, and then do the acquisitions next year, they could rebuild quickly. You really just want to limit your non-competitive years to as short a period of time as possible.

[greediron]

I think there’s 3 tiers of QBs:
1. Those that carry their team
2. Those that you can win with, but the team carries them
3. Those that you can’t win with.

Tier 1, you commit to long term, lock them up, add void years and deferred payments, etc.
Tier 2, you need to be looking for a Tier 1 guy.  You don’t commit to them for long term.  I think you have to be willing to overpay them in the short term, but not box yourself into the corner long term by committing too many years or too much dead cap hit to be able to move on from them.
Tier 3, these guys should be cheap.  Maybe they should be your backups.  I’d prefer to have your backup spots covered by guys that have the potential to grow into Tier 1 guys, not journeymen, not limited skillset guys.

Purdy should probably get something like 2 real years commitment, guaranteed $90-100M.  Big per year paycheck to make him happyish.  Not a long term commitment.

The 49ers 100% needed to blow things up.  You either do minor blowups semi-frequently, or wait until it gets catastrophic.  Sounds like their locker room needed a bunch of fresh air.  This was the perfect time to do it, regardless of the Purdy situation.  Not sure how their comp pick situation looks, but if they can do all their departures in one year, have an off year, and then do the acquisitions next year, they could rebuild quickly.  You really just want to limit your non-competitive years to as short a period of time as possible.

This makes the most sense.  They have to keep the tier 2 Purdy because they don't have anything else.  But over committing long term is a mistake.  Pay him but, more on a shorter prove it deal.

[Zanary]

I think Purdy has proven to be a borderline great QB in their system, certain with more to show that Dak or Herbert have accomplished. I'd also posit that the system-fit is a huge deal, because I don't actually know that Mahomes would do as well away from Reid's coaching. After all, that's the head coach who terrorized the hell out of the NFC (including us) for years with Philly, but couldn't quite get the whole enchilada. He had KC on the upswing before PM started his first game.

I think a 3 year, $30million+ average would be a good compromise. Herbert, Dak, and others are full-on financial liabilities the like of which the Cousins Hate Club could never have imagined....

[Still Hurtn]

Isn't Purdy a similar version of Kirk, Dak, Baker, Smith and Carr??

Offer a team friendly deal because I don't believe some team is going to pony up 45-55 million dollars for him.