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Sam Darnold Prediction
#1
Tanner Weber@Purple_Post
Sam Darnold 2024 stat predictions, per ESPN

3,117 Yards, 17 TDs, 13 INTs, 292/470 (62 % Completion)
180 Rushing Yards, 2 TDs

So with this supporting cast and offense he'll actually do worse than his 2nd season in New York. Ridiculous. But I'm sure there's one or two on this board who would agree with this prediction. 

I'm thinking more like 3,800 yards, 27 TDs, 14 INTs. If he plays all year, I think Sam will be a top 12 to 18 QB.
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#2
The author is a mortgage loan officer from Sioux Falls, lol. So he's a fan, just like us. Unfortunately with Twitter now being completely fucked up by Musk, you get crazy shit in your feed like this from random fans. But its an opinion, so its as good as anything right now until some games are played.

All I can say for sure is this is Darnold's best opportunity he's ever had. What he'll do with it is anyone's opinion. Sam will need to make me a believer, but I'm rooting for him.
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#3
(08-22-2024, 09:46 AM)StickierBuns Wrote: The author is a mortgage loan officer from Sioux Falls, lol. So he's a fan, just like us. Unfortunately with Twitter now being completely fucked up by Musk, you get crazy shit in your feed like this from random fans. But its an opinion, so its as good as anything right now until some games are played.

All I can say for sure is this is Darnold's best opportunity he's ever had. What he'll do with it is anyone's opinion. Sam will need to make me a believer, but I'm rooting for him.

Tanner Weber? I don't know anything about him, but this prediction was from ESPN, supposedly.
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#4
(08-22-2024, 10:08 AM)MaroonBells Wrote: Tanner Weber? I don't know anything about him, but this prediction was from ESPN, supposedly.

Ahh, I see that now. Thanks I missed that. Well, you know ESPN....full of hot air. Didn't some dude on their say yesterday that Minnesota should trade for Russ Wilson?
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#5
In 22 Kirko played 17 games; 4,547 yards, 29 touchdowns and 14 interceptions

Those espn stat predictions might not be too far off. So hard to predict with ??? around addison, tjh and can aaron jones stay healthy.
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#6
I'm counting wins, not stats.  He only needs to win 1 of our first 3 to be better than last season but I think he will do much better than that.
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#7
My prediction is a resounding victory for the Darnold in November!!!
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#8
I mean whatever on stats, wins is the big one. My son says 5-6 wins. I hope he can turn it around but we'll see
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#9
Like how are you/we defining what a top QB is? If you are going by volume stats like yards and TDs, etc. The top 18ish spots are the top 18ish guys in terms of how many games they started, basically guys who started almost a full season. After that, you just have a long list of guys that didn’t complete a full season. So the quoted position in the OP is basically stating that Darnold would be among the worst QBs who would finish a full season, slightly above Russell Wilson and Bryce Young.

We also live in a time of supersized passing statistics, where we all still think of the old days that the top 2-3 QBs were above 4000 yards, but in reality, 10 QBs eclipsed 4000 yards last year. I’m guessing this is what that original quote was, it was a guy who was still thinking as if this was a decade or two ago.

If Darnold is worse than 18-20, it means he got injured or replaced. I would fully expect that Darnold is in that 3600/20-22TDs realm which would be a not good season for a full time starter. 3800 yards is doable. 27 TDs is way too high of an estimate. 17 Ints is probably about right if you project his career Int% onto a top 10ish volume passing offense.

That said, it’s hard to ignore the context that Darnold has never started or played in more than 13 games in a season. I think the quoted statline matches up pretty well with what I think he would end up with if he only played 13 games in the season.
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#10
(08-22-2024, 10:09 AM)StickierBuns Wrote: Ahh, I see that now. Thanks I missed that. Well, you know ESPN....full of hot air. Didn't some dude on their say yesterday that Minnesota should trade for Russ Wilson?

I didn't even click on that. At a time of unparalleled stupidity in the world and on Twitter, that may have been the stupidest thing ever.
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