One comp on Kirk’s injury- Last offseason the Raiders signed Jimmy G for 3 years/$72M (he won’t see year 3 of that deal) early in free agency. But his foot was hurt. So rather than guaranteeing a large signing bonus like most teams would, they fully guaranteed his 2023 contract pending a physical he would take later— I believe at the start of training camp.
Situation is hardly ideal since although Jimmy G passed the physical, there was some chance he wouldn’t and then the Raiders would be SOL. The team signing Kirk might have to do something similar depending on where he’s at with his Achilles in March.
Since the Raiders were expected to stink by most, there was a bit less of a risk than if we were to do the same concept for Kirk, considering we should hopefully be a contender next year. The last thing you want is to count on Kirk, skip drafting a QB in the draft, lose Dobbs, and then have Kirk unable to pass a physical in July.
Not sure how likely any of that is to happen, but it’s yet another moving part to be aware of.
Dustin Baker@DustBakerVikings Playoff Probability,for Week 11 & 12:
Lose to DEN | Lose to CHI = 55%Lose to DEN = 71%Right Now = 80%Beat DEN | Lose to CHI = 81%Lose to DEN | Beat CHI = 81%Beat DEN = 90%Beat DEN | Beat CHI = 96%
Quote: @MaroonBells said:
Dustin Baker@DustBakerVikings Playoff Probability,for Week 11 & 12:
Lose to DEN | Lose to CHI = 55%Lose to DEN = 71%Right Now = 80%Beat DEN | Lose to CHI = 81%Lose to DEN | Beat CHI = 81%Beat DEN = 90%Beat DEN | Beat CHI = 96%
Buffalo had a 98% chance to beat Minnesota last year in the 4th quarter. Its just smoke, the odds. They can change significantly week to week.
Quote: @StickyBun said:
@ MaroonBells said:
Dustin Baker@DustBakerVikings Playoff Probability,for Week 11 & 12:
Lose to DEN | Lose to CHI = 55%Lose to DEN = 71%Right Now = 80%Beat DEN | Lose to CHI = 81%Lose to DEN | Beat CHI = 81%Beat DEN = 90%Beat DEN | Beat CHI = 96%
Buffalo had a 98% chance to beat Minnesota last year in the 4th quarter. Its just smoke, the odds. They can change significantly week to week.
Odds are mathematical, but until its 100 pr 0, there's still those anomalies that buck the odds and reset them for the future, hell weren't they down to single digits about week 4 or 5?
Quote: @StickyBun said:
@ MaroonBells said:
Dustin Baker@DustBakerVikings Playoff Probability,for Week 11 & 12:
Lose to DEN | Lose to CHI = 55%Lose to DEN = 71%Right Now = 80%Beat DEN | Lose to CHI = 81%Lose to DEN | Beat CHI = 81%Beat DEN = 90%Beat DEN | Beat CHI = 96%
Buffalo had a 98% chance to beat Minnesota last year in the 4th quarter. Its just smoke, the odds. They can change significantly week to week.
Twitter is a neverending exercise in mental masturbation, which Dustin Baker exemplifies.
Quote: @pattersaur said:
One comp on Kirk’s injury- Last offseason the Raiders signed Jimmy G for 3 years/$72M (he won’t see year 3 of that deal) early in free agency. But his foot was hurt. So rather than guaranteeing a large signing bonus like most teams would, they fully guaranteed his 2023 contract pending a physical he would take later— I believe at the start of training camp.
Situation is hardly ideal since although Jimmy G passed the physical, there was some chance he wouldn’t and then the Raiders would be SOL. The team signing Kirk might have to do something similar depending on where he’s at with his Achilles in March.
Since the Raiders were expected to stink by most, there was a bit less of a risk than if we were to do the same concept for Kirk, considering we should hopefully be a contender next year. The last thing you want is to count on Kirk, skip drafting a QB in the draft, lose Dobbs, and then have Kirk unable to pass a physical in July.
Not sure how likely any of that is to happen, but it’s yet another moving part to be aware of.
I think Kirk is done here but regardless, I can't see them giving him a 3 year deal. A mobile QB who was basically nobody has led them to more scoring and made the whole exercise feel like a breath of fresh air. Kirk's achilles makes it even harder to contemplate sticking with him imo.
Whether he is Case Keenum part deux, or whether the Rocket Man burns up on reentry after a few orbits and Jaren Hall gets the rest of his tryout, I believe that KAM/KOC are moving on from Kirk.
I’ve had my heart ripped out of my chest many times already by the Vikings, I’m immune to the pain!
Quote: @Riphawkins said:
I’ve had my heart ripped out of my chest many times already by the Vikings, I’m immune to the pain!
I'm not immune, but very used to the Viking pain. Still hurts but I can deal with it. :p
Quote: @StickyBun said:
@ Riphawkins said:
I’ve had my heart ripped out of my chest many times already by the Vikings, I’m immune to the pain!
I'm not immune, but very used to the Viking pain. Still hurts but I can deal with it. :p
Punches are easier to take when you are ready for them.
ATTN ALL SUNSHINE FACTORY EMPLOYEES: Starting immediately, management has decided to cut back to only two shifts per day until further notice. Thank you.
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