What's your prediction for CG's?

[purplefaithful]

Vegas see's these are really close games, not sure I agree.

Both home teams are only -3.0 as of today...

I'm picking both home teams to win and cover, -3.0 is just too close

[Guest]

I was 0-2 last week so no guru.  I only lost $90 on the Chiefs game going 0-4 in that game not just spread.  When I went 0-4 I decided not to touch the Buccs/Saints which turned out in my favor because I was liking the Saints.

As much as I want the Bills to win I don't think they will.  The Chiefs are also getting Helaire back and have much more balance on Offense.  Neither Defense is great so I think it will be like a 34-24 type of game but I expect the Chiefs to cover easily.  This will be Allen's biggest game of his career and I think will have a couple mishaps on plays that should have been made.  Mahomes has already been here and done that.  Even though I like Bills HC McDermott I think Andy Reid will outcoach him as well.  

The Packers game I think will be closer and I think the Buccs front 7 pressure on Rodgers is the key.  I think I am staying away from this game overall but I would not be surprised to see the Buccs pull it out.  Brady does not handle pressure well at all thus 2 SB losses to the Giants.  So this game comes down to who can pressure the QB more consistently.  Rodgers is much better at escaping pressure then Brady so even if the Pack can get decent pressure on Brady that could be enough.  On the flip, I think GB/Rodgers are so balanced on Offense that the only way for the Buccs to win is to put a lot of pressure on Rodgers.  I am staying away from this one but of course I hope Rodgers get rocked and the Buccs move on.  

[Guest]

Bills haven't put it all together yet in the playoffs, young team that has seemed a little jittery, think the experience of the first two games help them and also do not think Mahomes is 100%, see Bills dominating and winning game.  Do not see either NFC teams as a typical SB team, but see Bucs winning by default.  

[Guest]

I'll go with the Bills and the Packers. No analysis or deep thought behind that, just a feeling. Now I'll have to figure out a way to watch the game. Canceled YTTV after the last game of the regular season. 

But now that I think about it, it might actually make sense to add it again and keep it through the draft. Definitely need to see the Sr. Bowl next week. 

[Guest]

Stat to know: The two biggest factors in Brady's performance all season have been pressure and the vertical game. In 13 wins over the course of the season (including playoffs), he averaged 1.1 sacks per game, saw pressure on 14% of his dropbacks and posted an 82 QBR. But in five losses, sacks jumped to 2.2 per game, his pressure rate climbed to 27% and his QBR nearly split in half (44). And as far as the deep ball goes, consider this: On passes thrown 20-plus yards downfield over that 18-game span, he has hit on 45% for 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions in wins, but just 21% for a single score and five picks in the losses.
What's at stake: A win for the Buccaneers would mark the first non-division champion to reach the Super Bowl since the 2010 Packers. It would also bring Brady's 10th Super Bowl appearance, spanning three decades. Rodgers, however, has played in only one Super Bowl. And after losing his past three NFC Championship Game appearances and going 1-3 over his career in this game, Rodgers is attempting to avoid becoming just the third QB to have fewer than two wins and more than three losses in conference title matchups (Ken Stabler and Donovan McNabb are both 1-4).

Betting nugget: Brady is 9-4 straight up and 6-7 against the spread in conference championship games. The under is 8-5 in those matchups, including 7-2 in his past nine. 
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/3075...mpionships

[Guest]

Stat to know: The Bills have dropped back to pass 73% of the time this postseason, and only one team has ever reached a conference title game passing more often -- the 2015 Patriots (83%), who lost in the AFC Championship Game that season. Buffalo won last week with just 32 rushing yards -- the fourth fewest ever in a playoff win, per the Elias Sports Bureau -- and Allen currently leads the team on the ground with 57 yards over two postseason games. The Bills averaged 64.0 rushing yards per game this season, fewer than all but one team to ever reach the Super Bowl; the 1999 Rams averaged 41.0
What's at stake: The Chiefs are aiming to become the first repeat Super Bowl champs since the 2003-04 Patriots, ending the longest stretch in NFL history without a repeat champion. They are the 12th defending Super Bowl champion to host a conference championship, and the prior 11 teams went 10-1 (only loss was by the 1990 49ers). The Bills, meanwhile, are trying to make it back to the Super Bowl for the first time since losing four straight across the 1990-93 seasons. They haven't won a title of any kind since the 1965 AFL Championship, and their 0-4 record in Super Bowls is tied with the Vikings for most appearances without a win
Betting nugget: The Chiefs are 1-8 against the spread in their past nine games (8-1 outright), and they're 0-5 against the spread in their past five at home.
https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/3075...mpionships

[Guest]

The Bills don't run enough to keep Mahomes and that fast offense off the field...  plus the best way to beat KC this year is to run the football to control the clock and take advantage of their poor red zone defense.  The Chiefs have actually been good against the pass.  I think Allen struggles enough that the Chiefs win by 10+.

On the NFC side, my heart wants the Bucs to win but my gut says GB...  I actually think this one could go either way.  Like Minny said above, both teams can pressure the QB.  I kind of feel like the team that runs the ball the best will win.  Bucs need Ronald Jones to run hard today if they want to walk out with "the dub".

[Guest]

@Wetlander said:
The Bills don't run enough to keep Mahomes and that fast offense off the field...  plus the best way to beat KC this year is to run the football to control the clock and take advantage of their poor red zone defense.  The Chiefs have actually been good against the pass.  I think Allen struggles enough that the Chiefs win by 10+.

On the NFC side, my heart wants the Bucs to win but my gut says GB...  I actually think this one could go either way.  Like Minny said above, both teams can pressure the QB.  I kind of feel like the team that runs the ball the best will win.  Bucs need Ronald Jones to run hard today if they want to walk out with "the dub".

This might be spot on...

Vikes beat em @ Lamblow when Cook went off big. 

[Guest]

Bills and TB

I think TB is gonna roll GB  Packer Fan is gonna get leveled just like last year. Never in it.

and Diggs will be the difference for Bills. 

[Guest]

Wow green bay is in trouble.



Lambeau isn't the same place minus 40,000? people.

With no crowd is gonna be more difficult for the pack to comeback.