07-15-2019, 04:15 PM
Quote: @JimmyinSD said:Well, even if he doesn't... he has rare power. Here are Sano's HR paces if he played a full 162 game season:
He's got the power, and most everything else, but will his brain take to the teaching or will he revert back as soon as he has a little success? 1 for 4 with 3 Ks today.
2015: 18 HRs / 80 games (HR pace = 36)
2016: 25 HRs / 116 games (HR pace = 35)
2017: 28 HRs / 114 games (HR pace = 40)
2018: 13 HRs / 71 games (HR pace = 30)
2019: 13 HRs / 43 games (HR pace = 49)
If we're expecting him to develop into a .280+ hitter, I think fans will be disappointed. It seems pretty clear he won't reach those kind of expectations with a .243 career average halfway through his 5th season.
But... if we're expecting him to be more like a Ryan Howard or Mark Reynolds (both had high strikeout rates, but lots of HRs) then that seems reasonable. Both hovered around a .250 career average, but belted a ton of HRs.
There is plenty of room on a MLB roster for a guy who can hit 35+ HRs in a season. Especially in today's game where more and more teams are going for the long ball against these power pitchers that are so prevalent now.