Another Dallas Turner Thread

[pattersaur]

Dude’s more of a bust than a beast to date but I haven’t given up hope in thinking that he can keep improving. The team needs him and he’ll keep getting opportunities.

[hogjowlsjohnny]

You give up that kinda draft capital for a guy who's going to make you go wow from the git-go.  And frankly, I can't recall anyone giving up that kind of draft capital and getting a real return ever, it's generally a fool's errand.

But giving it up for a guy who people now are making excuses for in year two is just kind of indicative of where this will probably end up - in the dumpster like most of KAM's picks.  Yeah I realize he's young and could still find something, or maybe I'm just supposed to buy the bullshit from twitter in perpetuity, but meantime I don't see much there.

This is the best post I've seen regarding this subject. You expect an immediate contribution, day one starter, when you expend that much draft capital. It's more about piss poor player evaluation than the player himself. Perhaps he has super star potential and is being misused by the Vikings. But he's too small and weak to be great in his current role, and doesn't have the speed to make up for that deficiency. I think he will be a good player, but don't think he will ever be the player Kwesi, Grigson, Occonnel, or what ever scout pimped him, expected him to be.
The expectation for a 17th pick is a high impact long term starter. He may become a long term starter, but we are still waiting for the high impact part of the deal.

[JustInTime]

Maybe it’s my accounting background. 

A sunk cost is a past, unrecoverable expense of money, time, or effort that cannot be recouped. Because these costs have already occurred and cannot be changed, rational decision-making dictates that they should be ignored when making future choices, though they often influence behavior through the sunk cost fallacy.
Key characteristics
Irrecoverable: Sunk costs are expenses that are gone and cannot be gotten back, such as money spent on non-resalable equipment or marketing campaigns that failed.
Past-oriented: The cost has already been incurred and exists in the past. It is distinct from future or opportunity costs.
Excludes from future decisions: For rational decision-making, sunk costs should not factor into a choice. The decision should be based on future costs and benefits only.