01-06-2024, 08:34 PM
The Vikings currently sit at 12, which is exactly where the 49ers were in 2021, when they traded their current 3rd rounder, their 2022 1st and their 2023 1st to the Dolphins to move to number 3 to take Trey Lance.
According to the trade value chart, the difference in draft capital from the 12 slot to the 9 slot is 150 pts, equivalent to a 3rd rounder, which is good because the Vikings don't have one. At any rate, if history holds, and the Vikings want to move to 3 from 9 they will be looking at giving up 1st rounders in both of the next two drafts.
If the Vikings aim a little lower (say, for Penix), they could move from 12 to 7 and not give up a 1st rounder. In 2018, the Bills moved from 12 to 7 to draft Josh Allen by giving up two current 2nd rounders. Vikings have only one, but you can do the math.
However, if the Vikings win and some other crap happens, they could drop as low as 16, probably rendering a trade to 3 cost-prohibitive, but not so a trade into the top 10. In 2011, Jacksonville moved from 16 to 10 for Blaine Gabbert by and trading only their 2nd rounder. In 2018, Cards moved from 15 to 10 for Josh Rosen by giving up a 3rd and a 5th.
According to the trade value chart, the difference in draft capital from the 12 slot to the 9 slot is 150 pts, equivalent to a 3rd rounder, which is good because the Vikings don't have one. At any rate, if history holds, and the Vikings want to move to 3 from 9 they will be looking at giving up 1st rounders in both of the next two drafts.
If the Vikings aim a little lower (say, for Penix), they could move from 12 to 7 and not give up a 1st rounder. In 2018, the Bills moved from 12 to 7 to draft Josh Allen by giving up two current 2nd rounders. Vikings have only one, but you can do the math.
However, if the Vikings win and some other crap happens, they could drop as low as 16, probably rendering a trade to 3 cost-prohibitive, but not so a trade into the top 10. In 2011, Jacksonville moved from 16 to 10 for Blaine Gabbert by and trading only their 2nd rounder. In 2018, Cards moved from 15 to 10 for Josh Rosen by giving up a 3rd and a 5th.