Forum › The Longship › NFL Draft Industrial Complex Con

NFL Draft Industrial Complex Con

SM
Joined Feb 2024
68 posts
Rep: 33

Odds on getting starter by round

one- 50-60 percent

Two- 35 percent

Three- 20 percent

The league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.

Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.

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#1 · Nov 9, 7:08 AM
Bullazin
Joined Jul 2013
587 posts
Rep: 421

smleh wrote:

Odds on getting starter by roundone- 50-60 percentTwo- 35 percentThree- 20 percentThe league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.

I think the league gives us data and hype and fans create the fantasy. The formula certainly works.

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#2 · Nov 9, 7:33 AM CT
MaroonBells
Joined Jan 2014
5,562 posts
Rep: 6,109

smleh wrote:

Odds on getting starter by roundone- 50-60 percentTwo- 35 percentThree- 20 percentThe league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.

Every NFL team values draft picks like they're antimatter. You can get a 3X All Pro guard for a 3rd and a 5th, when the odds of drafting a similar player anywhere in the draft are extremely low. Money obviously plays a big factor in the increased value of draft picks and the diminished value of veterans, but it seems to be overregarded.

"Evan Can't Fish" —Bathroom wall, The Filling Station, Bozeman, MT

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#3 · Nov 9, 7:35 AM CT
StickierBuns
Joined May 2013
10,844 posts
Rep: 3,116

Bullazin wrote:

I think the league gives us data and hype and fans create the fantasy. The formula certainly works.

This is it, the NFL understands the more hype and hyperbole, the more entrenched fans are in all of it. Now they make that data and analytics available to fans and they get to feel like they are better than the general managers in the NFL.

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#4 · Nov 9, 7:38 AM CT
Bullazin
Joined Jul 2013
587 posts
Rep: 421

StickierBuns wrote:

This is it, the NFL understands the more hype and hyperbole, the more entrenched fans are in all of it. Now they make that data and analytics available to fans and they get to feel like they are better than the general managers in the NFL.

Feed a pig and it will get fat.

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#5 · Nov 9, 7:43 AM CT
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