The Gambler Heads To The Draft

JustInTime wrote:

https://twitter.com/ncaa_pr/status/2063993642532966730

That is rich coming from the NCAA. Integrity...

I am not sure this drama is over. The Big 12 is discussing potential punishment. There is not a whole lot that can be done if they choose to do something. It sounds like all the colleges are on board other than Tech.

Isn't drafting this guy a gamble?

If what is reported is true and he has a gambling addiction, how can you ever trust the guy? That doesn't just go away, just like any type of addiction. You have to work at it and relapse is high.

It would be fitting if the Browns take him. You'd have a sexual predator, a narcissist, and a gambling addict as your top 3 QB options.

What does AI think about where Sorsby would go unencumbered by gambling issues?

If former Texas Tech/Cincinnati quarterback Brendan Sorsby were entirely unencumbered by off-field issues and allowed to enter a standard NFL Draft, consensus from draft analysts and scouts indicates he would be viewed as a legitimate first-round talent.

However, evaluating where he would actually fall in a regular draft requires looking at both his raw on-field traits and the reality of his situation:

The Football Profile: First-Round Tools

Purely on tape, draft analysts like Rob Rang and Brandon Marcello view Sorsby as a potential top-15 or even top-5 pick in a standard cycle (like the upcoming 2027 class).

• The High Ceiling: At 6’3” and 235 pounds, he possesses the prototypical frame, elite arm strength to make every NFL throw, and highly dynamic mobility (accounting for 63 total touchdowns across his time at Cincinnati).

• The Metrics: Advanced charting shows he excels at pushing the ball downfield into tight windows, carrying a high "Big-Time Throw" rate. He also possesses an elite 6.1% pressure-to-sack rate, demonstrating an innate ability to avoid drive-killing plays under duress.

The Complication: The "Baggage" Discount

If he were in a regular draft today, teams wouldn't just be grading the film; they’d be grading the betting scandal that triggered his NCAA eligibility battle. Because he admitted to wagering on college sports (including games involving his own team), his draft stock in a normal team-by-team environment would fluctuate wildly based on front-office risk tolerance:

• Optimistic Projection (Round 1 to Early Round 2): In a regular draft, a quarterback-needy team picking late in the first round or early in the second would almost certainly gamble on a franchise-caliber ceiling, banking on their team culture to provide him structure.

• Realistic Consensus (Round 2 to Round 3): Many league insiders and draft boards would drop him into the Day 2 range. On the field, he still needs to improve his processing speed against disguised coverages and his sub-50% completion rate on second-read progressions. Combined with the character red flags, a 2nd- or 3rd-round grade provides teams a buffer where the talent value heavily outweighs the structural risk.

The Current Reality: The Supplemental Draft

Because he isn't in a regular draft, his true market value is about to be tested in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft. Because teams must forfeit a corresponding 2027 draft pick to select him, the bidding will be a massive game of chicken. Front offices aren't just deciding his round value; they are deciding if they are willing to part with a premium asset next spring to secure a volatile, high-upside quarterback today.

JustInTime wrote:

https://twitter.com/therealforno/status/2066883743420149914

The supplemental draft hasn't been scheduled yet, but by most accounts, it's supposed to happen in late July, right when the Vikings go to training camp, so there will be no QB1 chosen by then. You have to think if the Vikings are at all interested in investing a day-two pick on Sorsby it would be followed by a McCarthy trade.

I've never been a fan of the idea of trading McCarthy, but I would imagine if you could get for him the same 3rd rounder you spent on Sorsby, it might be worth considering. But only if there are real problems between coach and QB, which has been recklessly speculated, but seems unlikely at this point.

The Vikings drafting Sorsby is about as likely as Kyler Murray having a sudden growth spurt.

Rams would have been the perfect landing spot.

If any teams was going to take a chance on this kid, I'd assume the Jets, Miami, or Pittsburgh would be at the top of the list.

Normally I would say no way will the Vikings put some chips in...

Too complicated of a QB room already

Too much baggage

BUT - Teasley is an unknown to all of us as to how he will GM up the team.

The idea of Sorsby joining the Vikings seems unlikely at best, but stranger things have happened. Take for instance 1985, when Bernie Kosar leveraged the supplemental draft as a way to wind up with the Browns — the team he rooted for growing up as a diehard fan in Ohio. The Vikings, coming off a 3-13 season, had moved up to No. 2 in the 1985 draft and needed a young QB.

Kosar indeed wound up instead with the Browns, while the Vikings moved down to No. 4 in the draft after all the dust settled. They ended up choosing Hall of Famer Chris Doleman, so it worked out on that end. But they missed out on the sort of QB stability with Kosar that has continued to elude them in the four decades since then. STRIB

He only placed like 9000 little wagers, including on the team he was playing on, so I’m sure…🤔😱