Forum The Longship Darnold's progressions and release

Darnold's progressions and release

MaroonBells
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I've seen this play highlighted a few times now on Twitter, and yes the progressions are fantastic, but nobody mentions the release. Laser accuracy and cartoonishly quick release in a tight window. This is why he was a 3rd overall pick. 

#1 · Sep 23, 12:49 PM
JimmyinSD
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badgervike wrote:
The reality is that even if Darnold takes us to the playoffs...he's not going to jump to a franchise level payday immediately. Other teams are going to be hesitant to assume that Darnold is a changed man and not dependent on a system and a strong set of position players including the best receiver in football. He'll likely command somewhere in between his current salary and franchise level salary both in terms of amount and timeframe. Will that involve the Vikings with JJM waiting in the wings?...I guess we'll find out.

where other teams will have the advantage in vs the Vikes is length of contract, MN is likely only going to want him for 1 more year unless something changes with JJM, I would assume after a successful showing in 24 that SD would want to follow that up with some more longer term security, especially if he is going to a team with less surrounding talent ( on and off the field) it will be a good problem for him to have if his play continues at this level.

Why isn't Chuck Foreman in the Hall of Fame?

#22 · Sep 24, 8:25 AM
JimmyinSD
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whats funny is there were 1 or 2 around here that were interested in SD when the Jets were ready to move on, but after Carolina his name wasnt mentioned again until this offseason.. looks like maybe there was more there after all.

Why isn't Chuck Foreman in the Hall of Fame?

#23 · Sep 24, 8:27 AM
MaroonBells
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JimmyinSD wrote:

where other teams will have the advantage in vs the Vikes is length of contract,  MN is likely only going to want him for 1 more year unless something changes with JJM,  I would assume after a successful showing in 24 that SD would want to follow that up with some more longer term security,  especially if he is going to a team with less surrounding talent ( on and off the field) it will be a good problem for him to have if his play continues at this level.

Yeah, there are a dozen different factors to consider, but if he continues to play like this, the Vikings would be fools for not at least considering an extension. 

Sure, the Vikings feel pretty confident they got their guy in McCarthy. But you don't mess around with the QB position. If you got a bird in the hand, you'd be fools for letting him walk and replacing him with an unknown, especially if the bird in your hand is a former 3rd overall pick who is actually starting to play like one. Because as good as McCarthy looked, it was the preseason. It might piss people off to say this, but he is an unknown whether we like it or not. 

Sam will want a long term deal. Probably 3 years, like Mayfield got. But in Sam's mind, that should be offset by the knowledge that he may not be able to replicate this on other teams (and whoever those teams are will be conscious of that fact as well), so it's possible the Vikings can get him for 2. But I would only do it if we can avoid the dreaded no-trade clause. If so, the Vikings could trade him for a 1st round pick in '26 and hand the keys to JJ. He'll still be only 23 years old. Two years of development, taking over a high-powered offense with a ton of cap space and a couple 1st rounders? That's a beautiful thing if we can swing it. 

Because while I'm sure the Vikings were expecting to take full advantage of the "QB on a rookie deal" thing in 2025 to build a Super Bowl roster, they would only be putting it off one year in the above scenario. I think it's something they have to consider.

#24 · Sep 24, 9:27 AM
Bullazin
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MaroonBells wrote:

Yeah, there are a dozen different factors to consider, but if he continues to play like this, the Vikings would be fools for not at least considering an extension. 

Sure, the Vikings feel pretty confident they got their guy in McCarthy. But you don't mess around with the QB position. If you got a bird in the hand, you'd be fools for letting him walk and replacing him with an unknown, especially if the bird in your hand is a former 3rd overall pick who is actually starting to play like one. Because as good as McCarthy looked, it was the preseason. It might piss people off to say this, but he is an unknown whether we like it or not. 

Sam will want a long term deal. Probably 3 years, like Mayfield got. But in Sam's mind, that should be offset by the knowledge that he may not be able to replicate this on other teams (and whoever those teams are will be conscious of that fact as well), so it's possible the Vikings can get him for 2. But I would only do it if we can avoid the dreaded no-trade clause. If so, the Vikings could trade him for a 1st round pick in '26 and hand the keys to JJ. He'll still be only 23 years old. Two years of development, taking over a high-powered offense with a ton of cap space and a couple 1st rounders? That's a beautiful thing if we can swing it. 

Because while I'm sure the Vikings were expecting to take full advantage of the "QB on a rookie deal" thing in 2025 to build a Super Bowl roster, they would only be putting it off one year in the above scenario. I think it's something they have to consider.

Is the transition tag still a thing?  That would be the least I would consider if Sam wins a playoff game.  And yeah, it would be foolish to let a proven winner at QB go for nothing.  Won’t happen.

#25 · Sep 24, 10:09 AM
JimmyinSD
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article on SDs future

https://www.outkick.com/sports/nfl-personnel-people-vikings-must-keep-darnold-he-continues-like

Why isn't Chuck Foreman in the Hall of Fame?

#26 · Sep 24, 10:44 AM
purplefaithful
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JimmyinSD wrote:
article on SDs future

https://www.outkick.com/sports/nfl-personnel-people-vikings-must-keep-darnold-he-continues-like

If Darnold keeps playing like he has (big if) there will be plenty of suitors...And probably for a danny dimes type of contract.

We got 14 games to go and to quote the article "how much will Sam regress to the mean?" remains to be seen. 

Sam aside, the other big issue I see (and Ive said it b4) is we really dont know what we got in JJM yet. And I'm not convinced the Vikings are ready trade off 1 in hand for 2 in the bush on a QB thats never taken a live snap in a real game. 

I am glad we got 14 games to go - hopefully what plays out clearly outlines what the Vikings should do. 

Why isnt it ever cut and dried for this team lol!

edited Sep 24, 2024 11:05 AM

Hurry-up Vikings, we ain't getting any younger! 

#27 · Sep 24, 10:58 AM
WA
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JimmyinSD wrote:

If SD keeps this team ballin out,  you cant let him walk in hopes that JJM comes back and is able to step right into a starting role.  Imagine having a roster assembled that is ready to contend, you let your starting QB walk that got you close the previous year.. and then you start an unproven commodity and fail to make the playoffs,  want to talk hot seat,  IMO that would be tough to overcome,  and does that really build on your success in terms of drawing free agents?  "sure we were close this year,  but we are going a different direction with the most important position on the team,  but we feel really good about him"  If anything you tag SD for 1 year,  or get him onto a very friendly deal that you can trade him if JJM does beat him out,  but you dont build off this years potential success by handing it to an unproven rookie.


You can’t afford a $50MM a year qb  contract at this point. You’d simply be reversing everything you accomplished this offseason.  Not happening unless you win it all.

#28 · Sep 24, 12:38 PM
Vanguard83
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Regarding a big payday for SD - I understand the appeal of big money, but do you want to give up a great culture, coaches, players, scheme, for something more dysfunctional (like his first three teams?)

Asking for a friend.

#29 · Sep 24, 12:51 PM
HO
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It's almost always money that determines where free agents go to play. But we are putting the cart before the horse with this talk about Darnold's future. It's only three games.

#30 · Sep 24, 3:24 PM
JimmyinSD
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Waterboy wrote:
You can’t afford a $50MM a year qb  contract at this point. You’d simply be reversing everything you accomplished this offseason.  Not happening unless you win it all.

It wouldnt be that high, maybe avg 35-40 per season and it would have to include a trade clause so if JJM emerged as the top passer that the Vikings could move SD to a new team.

Why isn't Chuck Foreman in the Hall of Fame?

#31 · Sep 25, 1:01 AM
MaroonBells
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JimmyinSD wrote:

It wouldnt be that high,  maybe avg 35-40 per season and it would have to include a trade clause so if JJM emerged as the top passer that the Vikings could move SD to a new team.

I think that's much closer to reality. Mayfield got 3 years, $100M, so $33M per. Sam would likely get a smidge more than that just because it's a year later, but the circumstances are remarkably similar. Vikings might try to keep it to 2 years bumping it up a little more. But if the Vikings plan to trade Sam at some point maybe the term doesn't really matter.

#32 · Sep 25, 1:50 AM
AGRforever
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Vanguard83 wrote:
Regarding a big payday for SD - I understand the appeal of big money, but do you want to give up a great culture, coaches, players, scheme, for something more dysfunctional (like his first three teams?)

Asking for a friend.

If I am Sam and the difference in 10s of millions of dollars that set me up for life.  Yes, I'm taking that chance and cashing in.

#33 · Sep 25, 5:40 AM
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Forum The Longship Darnold's progressions and release

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