NFL Draft Industrial Complex Con
Odds on getting starter by round
one- 50-60 percent
Two- 35 percent
Three- 20 percent
The league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.
Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.
smleh wrote:
Odds on getting starter by roundone- 50-60 percentTwo- 35 percentThree- 20 percentThe league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.
I think the league gives us data and hype and fans create the fantasy. The formula certainly works.
smleh wrote:
Odds on getting starter by roundone- 50-60 percentTwo- 35 percentThree- 20 percentThe league creates a fantasy about all these great players but the bust factor is quite high. Every year in March we’re told not to build thru free agency, but thru the draft. But then once the season starts then we’re told about the development time needed for players.Keep all this in mind as Vikings do little to nothing.
Every NFL team values draft picks like they're antimatter. You can get a 3X All Pro guard for a 3rd and a 5th, when the odds of drafting a similar player anywhere in the draft are extremely low. Money obviously plays a big factor in the increased value of draft picks and the diminished value of veterans, but it seems to be overregarded.
"Evan Can't Fish" —Bathroom wall, The Filling Station, Bozeman, MT
Bullazin wrote:
I think the league gives us data and hype and fans create the fantasy. The formula certainly works.
This is it, the NFL understands the more hype and hyperbole, the more entrenched fans are in all of it. Now they make that data and analytics available to fans and they get to feel like they are better than the general managers in the NFL.
StickierBuns wrote:
This is it, the NFL understands the more hype and hyperbole, the more entrenched fans are in all of it. Now they make that data and analytics available to fans and they get to feel like they are better than the general managers in the NFL.
Feed a pig and it will get fat.
You already made this post, which pretty much says the same thing "Fuck those picks"
https://vikefans.com/thread/24583
I'm just going to copy and paste what I said then:
With the salary cap, teams typically end up with a handful of expensive star players, another chunk of quality free agents, but then there’s a very long list of players that are low cost players. If you go the veteran free agent route, you’re pretty limited in what you can get for low cost players. Low cost veterans are typically going to be lower quality players. With the draft and UDFAs however, you have the opportunity to get players that are much higher quality for their relative cost. If you spend all your draft picks on trades for expensive free agents, you’ll run into to the problem of not having enough guys that are outperforming their low cost contracts. If you are in a SB window … screw the future because the goal is to win a SB by putting the most amount of talent on your team, not to be perpetually efficient in some sort of spreadsheet way.
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