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2027 Draft Class Impact On FA

JustInTime
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Mac Jones I don’t consider mid, but I think in the right system could be very productive.

“Hell is empty and all the devils are here”

Shakespeare 

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#1 · Oct 23, 2:39 PM
Canthony
Canthony
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I think the combination of Mac and KOC could be a very good one. The last part is the part that I am worried about since KOC relies heavy on vertical and intermediate passing scheme that relies heavy on deeper, longer developing routes

  • Accuracy and Touch: When he has a clean pocket, good timing, and anticipation, he can drop in accurate deep passes—a trait he frequently displayed at Alabama and has flashed at times in the NFL.

  • Tight-Window Efficiency: Advanced situational analytics show he can be effective on deeper or high-leverage throws into tight coverage when the timing is right (ranking high in specific third-down, downfield accuracy metrics), though he operates best within systems built on quick rhythm and rhythm-based distribution.

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#2 · Oct 23, 2:53 PM CT
JustInTime
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There appears to be a philosophical shift

Combining the two stretches across consecutive seasons shows the evolution of the Minnesota Vikings' passing strategy.

When stacking the final five games of 2025 alongside the first five games of 2026, the Vikings have maintained an overall Average Depth of Target (aDOT) of 6.57 yards over this 10-game window. [1, 2]

However, looking at the two halves of this span reveals a significant contrast in how those short-yardage numbers were generated.

10-Game Trajectory Breakdown

While both five-game segments feature low target depths, they stem from completely different offensive circumstances:

  • Late 2025 (Final 5 Games): The 6.19-yard aDOT was a sharp, late-season dip below the team's full-season baseline. Facing heavy defensive fronts and protecting leads late in the year, the offense leaned intentionally into screens and short crossers to stabilize their game scripts before the postseason.

  • Early 2026 (First 5 Games): The 6.95-yard aDOT represents a complete philosophical shift. Rather than an organic dip, this is the foundational identity under new starting quarterback Kyler Murray. Head coach Kevin O'Connell has structured a rapid, quick-release passing attack to get the ball out quickly, helping the team march to a 5-0 start.

    [1, 2, 3]

Consecutive 5-Game Segment Comparison

Metric Span

Games

Total Pass Attempts

Team aDOT

Principal Quarterback

Offensive Context

Late 2025 (Weeks 14-18)

5

128

6.19 Yds

Sam Darnold

Script contraction ahead of the playoffs.

Early 2026 (Weeks 1-5)

5

140

6.95 Yds

Kyler Murray

Institutional system shift to a quick-game concept.

Combined 10-Game Window

10

268

6.57 Yds

—

The shift from 2025 to 2026 shows that while the depth of target remains compact, the aerial offense has become slightly more expansive under Mu

“Hell is empty and all the devils are here”

Shakespeare 

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#3 · Oct 23, 3:06 PM CT
Canthony
Canthony
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I agree that it seems to be changing. I like that he seems to be tailoring it to Kyler and the end of last year to the Medical Messiah. As he should. Is that the new norm though? If so, then I believe Jones would be the perfect fit. Still can throw the deep pass in tight windows when it is needed. Could be a happy middle ground for both.

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#4 · Oct 23, 3:50 PM CT
JustInTime
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If you listen to KO, I think the biggest philosophical change was with himself.

“Hell is empty and all the devils are here”

Shakespeare 

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#5 · Oct 23, 4:27 PM CT
Canthony
Canthony
Champ July 2026 Trivia Champion
Joined Oct 2013
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Rep: 870

That was very big of KOC to say. I have always been a KOC guy. But he needed to adjust. Looks as though he is. Whatever happened with JJM is what it is. People need to move on. Times change, people change, things change. Oh well.

New look KOC is a good one thus far. We still need to improve though. Kyler should have a good game again Sunday.

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#6 · Oct 23, 4:36 PM CT
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